Posts tagged 2013 RSP

Reads Listens Views 1/11/2013

Combine this lunch at Saucy Q with the New York Times Fifth Down Blog Practice Reports and you almost have the complete Senior Bowl experience at home. Photo by Cecil Lammey.
Combine this lunch at Saucy Q with the New York Times Fifth Down Blog Practice Reports and you almost have the complete Senior Bowl experience at home. Photo by Cecil Lammey.

New RSP Blog Menus

I’m always looking for ways to improve content navigation on this site. Yesterday, I added an NFL Draft menu that features links to all player analysis I featured on this blog, Football Outsiders, and the New York Times Fifth Down. These pieces are on individual pages according to the year I published them: 2011, 2012, and (thus far) 2013. Players are listed by position and alphabetized. Hopefully this makes your life easier.

Prepayment for the 2013 Rookie Scouting Portfolio is Available

If you’re one of my readers who, over the years, has convinced me to offer prepayment (thank you), now’s the time. The 2013 RSP is available for $19.95 and will be available for download April (as usual). You also get the post-draft add-on a week after the draft that includes tiered fantasy rankings, average dynasty draft spot data, team fit analysis, sleepers, UDFAs to watch, and dynasty drafting tips. It’s a second magazine-sized publication that is included with the purchase of the pre-draft publication. Past issues (2006-2012) are available for $9.95 apiece and the RSP donates 10 percent of every sale to Darkness to Light to train communities to recognize and prevent the dynamics of sexual abuse.

Senior Bowl

Once again, I’ll be at the Senior Bowl with Jene Bramel and Cecil Lammey. We’ll be covering practices and media night for the New York Times Fifth Down and Lammey’s ESPN affiliate as well as providing analysis and interviews here. Stay tuned.

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Football Reads

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The Boiler Room: Stanford TE Zach Ertz

Zach Ertz, another Stanford prospect, in the Boiler Room (photo by Han Shot First).
Zach Ertz, another Stanford prospect, in the Boiler Room (photo by Han Shot First).

Stanford tight end Zach Ertz declared for the draft this week. If someone could only see one play that would matter in deciding his draft day fate, which play would I use to highlight that prospect’s skills ? Will this highlight boil down this prospect to his essentials? That’s the thinking behind The Boiler Room – analysis of what makes a player worth drafting by boiling down as much as I can into a single play.

One of the challenges involved with player analysis is to be succinct with delivering the goods. As the author of an annual tome, I’m often a spectacular failure in this respect. Even so, I will study a prospect and see a play unfold that does a great job of encapsulating that player’s skills. When I witness these moments, I try to imagine if I would include this play as part of a cut-up of highlights for a draft show at a major network or if I was working for an NFL organization creating cut-ups for a personnel director.

Unlike the No-Huddle Series, The Boiler Room is focused on prospects I expect to be drafted, and often before the fourth round. Today’s prospect is another Stanford player, Zach Ertz. The 6-6, 252-pound tight end is near the top of a class loaded with several strong prospects at the position. What makes Ertz an NFL prospect is his fluid athleticism in an in-line tight end’s body.

This 2nd-and-10 game-winning score with 10:30 left against USC is a highlight you’ll see this spring when an NFL team calls his Ertz’s name at the NFL Draft.

Ertz may have in-line tight end size, but NFL teams will like that they can split him outside.
Ertz may have in-line tight end size, but NFL teams will like that they can split him outside.

This is a 21 personnel, I-formation, 1×1 receiver set. Ertz is the single receiver to the strong side facing a cornerback playing single coverage at the line of scrimmage. If you count the number of defenders in this photo, you’ll see that there is only one safety deep and in the middle of the field. This alignment confirms that Ertz has drawn man coverage. The defender is 6-1, 190-pound corner Torin Harris. Physically, this is a mismatch – especially on routes where Ertz can use his frame to shield the defender from the ball.

The easiest of these routes for Ertz to use his size would be options where he can post-up (fades) or break back to the quarterback (hooks, curls, quick slants, or outs). Where it seems less likely for Ertz to win against Harris, or any top-profile college program cornerback is a deeper route that requires a good story in order to gain separation. This is exactly what Ertz does with this corner-post for a 37-yard touchdown.

The play begins with Harris beginning his back-pedal after the snap with his back to the sideline and spying the pocket.

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The Trojans’ corner doesn’t try to jam Ertz because of the tight end’s size presents an advantage early in the route. Harris opts to stare into the offensive backfield and utilize his quickness to break on the football. The corner has his back to the sideline during this release down field because he hopes to funnel the play inside where he can get help from his teammates – especially if this is a short slant. Shortly after crossing the line of scrimmage, Ertz bends the route inside and looks inside as if he’s about to break on the slant.

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As soon as Harris reacts to Ertz’s inside move, the tight end plants and dips outside  as if he’s heading for the corner. Route running is a lot like telling a suspenseful story: it’s best to be two steps ahead of the audience. Defenders are a lot like an audience. Most members of the audience anticipate the first move or change in the plot of a story. Not as many anticipate the second twist in the plot line so most of them react as if this is the true path of the story. It is this reaction where they tend to make the strongest commitment to compensate for anticipating the first move, but not the second.

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To generate this reaction the route runner must display a strong attention to detail, precision with his footwork, and the quickness and agility to execute with enough fluidity to manipulate the defender. Ertz demonstrates each of these facets of route running on this play, drawing Harris out of position, and forcing the corner to react in the moment.

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Ertz’s break to the outside forces Harris to react by turning outside and continuing his back pedal. If it wasn’t clear from the beginning of the route that the corner was playing the ball and not the man, this still reinforces it. Harris continues to the pocket while reacting to Ertz’s second break. Meanwhile, Ertz is setting up his third move, a break to the post while Harris continues to react to the potential corner route. The fact that Ertz’s position is behind and shaded to the corner’s outside shoulder keeps the tight end just out of Harris’ peripheral vision. Despite the fact that Ertz is not within site of the corner at this moment, he still sells the outside break with his head.

This detail is important because he doesn’t know what the exactly position or sight line the corner will have before he executes the route and failing to sell even the slightest detail can tip off a defender. Further, there is always the chance that the safety doesn’t buy what Ertz is selling and works to the middle of the field early enough to foil the play.

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By the time Ertz breaks inside, Harris has committed enough to the post route that it will require a bad throw for the corner to recover and defend the pass. The direction of the knees and hips tell the story. In this case, Harris falls for the bait and the result is Ertz gaining at least three steps of separation.

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If you outlined Harris and pasted that outline in this space between him and Ertz, there would be enough room for three outlines. Ertz turns towards the throw and gets his head around and his hands up. A route with this detail of movement to set up the break requires the receiver to make a late adjustment to track the football on a pass that should be arriving with some heat.

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Everything about Ertz’s form at this point is perfect: His back is to the defender thanks to his work to set up the break; his arms are extended to the first available point to catch the pass; and his hands are in position to make the catch with his palms facing the ball and his fingers up and splayed inward. When you see a receiver catch the ball close to his body in this situation it’s often because he lacks confidence in his ability to catch the ball with his hands or he doesn’t have mastery of knowing the correct hand position to use to attack a ball that is between belt and chest level. This pass is a little higher than that, but still in an area where I see receivers have difficulty with the position of their hands.

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Within a step of catching the ball, Ertz does a good job of securing the pass and looking to the safety approaching from the inside. The plant and dip under the defender is another demonstration of quick thinking and agility.

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As Ertz finishes planting the outside foot and turning his hips inside, he also lowers his pads in anticipation of contact and has both hands on the football. These are all good reactions. The only thing Ertz doesn’t do is get the ball closer to his body in anticipation of a hit. Fortunately for the Stanford tight end, his move is good enough to avoid the safety and get the ball tucked firmly into his inside arm as he breaks from the outside pursuit.

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The to the middle of the field not only helps him avoid the safety, but it also puts Ertz’s teammate in position to block Harris. All that is left between Ertz and the end zone is the pursuit behind him.

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Remember that Ertz just executed a sharp change of direction that would slow the gait of any player. As No.16 closes on Ertz, I like how the tight end demonstrates the awareness to dive for the goal line. It illustrates that Ertz saw the backside pursuit as he made this cut inside the safety and that he has skill at processing what to do as a ball carrier in the open field. Within a few steps he extends the ball towards the end zone, just ahead of the defender attempting to punch the ball loose.

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Ertz anticipates the defender, dives for the goal line, and lands in the end zone maintaining control of the football. It’s the culmination of a play that illustrates why a defender better not take this big man for granted. Harris playing the ball over the man did just that and he paid the price.

Ertz is a lot like Bengals receiver Jermaine Gresham, a big, physical, and agile player capable of developing into an NFL starter and intermediate threat with big-play ability. What this play doesn’t show you represents a lot of what he’ll need to improve: using his hands at the line of scrimmage and making receptions after contact from a defender. If he can improve his game, I think he can develop into a performer with Heath Miller’s upside. I still have more to study so don’t take the Miller comparison as anything more than a distant summit of Ertz’s potential. Still, the view from this level is promising.

For more analysis of skill players like this post, download the 2013 Rookie Scouting Portfolio available April 1. Prepayment is available now. Better yet, if you’re a fantasy owner the 56-page Post-Draft Add-on comes with the 2013 RSP at no additional charge. Best, yet, 10 percent of every sale is donated to Darkness to Light to combat sexual abuse. You can purchase past editions of the Rookie Scouting Portfolio for just $9.95 apiece.

Reads Listens Views 1/4/2013

Has the RSP been your MVP (Most Valuable Publication)? The 2013 edition, like Adrian Peterson, is on schedule (Photo by Langzi).
Has the RSP been your MVP (Most Valuable Publication)? The 2013 edition, like Adrian Peterson, is on schedule  to deliver the goods (Photo by Langzi).

Now Accepting Prepayment for the 2013 RSP

I’m spending the weekend with a bunch of Footballguys  watching the playoffs and talking shop. Meanwhile here’s some welcome news for those of you who have asked me when you can prepay for the 2013 RSP. The answer is now: If you wish to prepay for the April 1 download of the 2013 Rookie Scouting Portfolio, you can do so at www.mattwaldman.com. I have already evaluated 130 skill players for the 2013 edition and just like last year, included with the purchase of the RSP will be access to download the wildly popular, Post-Draft Add-On. I publish this updated analysis after the NFL Draft and it includes updated positional rankings, tiered fantasy rankings, ceiling scores, and a ton of post-draft analysis that comes as part of the 2013 RSP purchase. With 10 percent of each sale going to Darkness to Light, it’s a must-have for draftniks, football fans, and fantasy owners.

New RSP Blog Series – The Boiler Room

Photo by Sebastian Niedlich
Photo by Sebastian Niedlich

[People] don’t like to break a player down, look at his particulars. That involves details. Most people get bored with details. Because in order to look at the details, you have to love what you’re doing, and you have to be highly motivated. I loved playing football. I relished the details.

– Jim Brown

One of the challenges involved with player analysis is to be succinct with delivering the goods. As the author of an annual tome, I’m often a spectacular failure in this respect. Even so, I will often study a prospect and see a play unfold that does a great job of encapsulating that player’s skills. When I witness these moments, I imagine that if I were part of the production team at a major network putting together highlights for a draft show or I was working for an NFL organization creating cut-ups for a personnel director, I try to imagine if this highlight will boil down this prospect to his essentials.

That’s the thinking behind The Boiler Room – analysis of what makes a player worth drafting by boiling down as much as I can into a single play. Unlike the No-Huddle Series, The Boiler Room is focused on prospects I expect to be drafted, and often before the fourth round. My first subject of the series will be 2013 Rose Bowl MVP Stepfan Taylor. Read it Monday morning.

Views – Kenny Garret, Kenny Kirkland, Jeff “Tain” Watts, and Robert Hurst Blowing the Roof Off

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Football Reads

Non-Football Reads

  • The Lives They Lived  – A good series that featured those who died in 2012 by focusing on how they lived.
  • Living Apart: Fair Housing In America – There were three pillars created to desegregate America. Perhaps the most important is the one that is least enforced.
  • Segregation Study – See how things of changed (Atlanta) or how they basically stayed the same (Cleveland).

Walk on The Wildside: Notes From the RSP Bunker

Can you guess a person's native state by his name? Apparently my wife could with Cordarrelle Patterson. Happy New Year (photo by Nashville Corps).
Can you guess a person’s native state by his name? Apparently my wife could with Cordarrelle Patterson. Happy New Year (photo by Nashville Corps).

It’s been a productive summer and fall at the RSP Film Room. I am closing in on finishing  play-by-play evaluations of 130 different skill position players as my winter vacation is ending and I thought I’d provide a few highlights of what I’ve seen this week. Most of this is lighthearted analysis in three short segments: My Readers Are Smart…But My Wife Might Be Smarter; Duke Johnson: Signs of a Waldman Family Apocalypse; and Big Nasty.

My Readers Are Smart…

I love when I write about one player and I get numerous questions about a different one. This happened with my analysis of Justin Hunter. The Tennessee wide receiver is a freakish talent, but potentially one of the riskiest players at the top of this draft class because of poor habits on both the practice field and on game day. My readers continued to ask me about his teammate Cordarrelle Patterson. I knew I’d eventually get to Patterson but I waited for my vacation because I figured I was going to see something fun and when I enjoy watching a player, I get so pumped up that I have trouble sleeping if I’m studying games at night. Patterson hasn’t disappointed:

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His 44-yard run after the catch for a 58-yard gain was just one of many like it. In fact, I wonder if Patterson’s terrific instincts and vision in the open field are making Hunter try to do the same things – and fail miserably at it. Hunter is so gifted, I sometimes think he’s trying to mimic his teammate and is in denial that he can’t match Patterson.

But My Wife Might Be Smarter.

The best highlight of the night was probably what happened after my wife walked into the office, saw Patterson make this run, and asked me his name. When I told her, she said that with a name like that he’s probably from South Carolina.  Sure enough, Rock Hill, S.C.  

I had to test her further.

“How about Stepfret Williams?”

“Definitely, from the South.”

“Well yeah, but what state?”

“Probably the South a lot of folks up North are scared about – rural Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana.”

Yep, Louisiana. If this were a game at a fair, we would have enough giant stuffed animals to start an E-Bay business if we weren’t banned from the theme park altogether.

Duke Johnson: Signs of a Waldman Family Paradox 

My wife went to school at UNC Chapel Hill.  According to her, I have to say the Chapel Hill part or else I’m not qualifying it correctly. A native North Carolinian is particular about their UNCs. When I’m feeling like getting a rise out of her I bring up the Tar Hell-Blue Devil rivalry and it’s the only time I get threats about divorce. [Editor’s Note: This was a complete Freudian slip on my part. It is “Tar Heel.” Unless of course, you’re a Dukie.]

“Alicia, what if one of our kids wants to go to Duke?”

“No kid of ours will ever go to Duke. Why are you even asking me such a stupid question?”

“Wait a minute, you mean to tell me that if one of our kids earned a scholarship to Duke, they couldn’t go?”

“Again, this is a dumb-ass question. Our kids will know that Duke is kidding itself when it says it’s the Harvard of the South. Who says that? Harvard is Harvard. Stop. It’s over. You haven’t gotten in. If you have to describe yourself on the back of another school then you know what’s really going on there.”

“So what if our kid earned a basketball scholarship to Duke?”

“Our kid will earn an academic scholarship and will be smart enough to realize that most Duke ball players wind up playing in Europe.”

“What if our kid chooses Duke because there is a specific program that few other schools of its quality offer?”

“Then you’re gonna have to move out and live in Durham with them in an apartment and you ain’t comin’ back home, that’s for sure.”

With lines drawn like these, it stands to reason that the only “Duke” that I can mention in the house without risking a night on the couch is the one who shares my wife’s maiden name and plays at my first university – Miami. Even so, when I invoke his name she gets a look on her face like I named a kid Hitler Rosenberg, or Hashtag Smith.   If you haven’t seen the freshman running back, check out these two touchdown runs against Boston College. You’ll be hearing a lot about this ACC Freshman of The Year soon enough.

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Johnson reminds me of that old East Carolina Johnson. Perhaps not as fast, but the new Miami version has even better balance.

Big Nasty

The tight end class might be the gem of the skill positions in the 2013 draft. Cincinnati Travis Kelce is one of many impressive prospects I’ve watched this year, including this weekend. He’s one of the best blockers I’ve seen at the position and because Cincinnati runs a pistol offense, Kelce plays the H-Back role to perfection. His dimensions are Gronkowski-like and he’s a big, aggressive, and nasty run blocker. He also has fluid athleticism and at 265 pounds, you don’t see a tight end move like this unless he has starter potential in the NFL.

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I know the Washington Redskins have Fred Davis, but as I mentioned to my Football Outsiders cohorts this weekend, if Washington wants to find a player who can take over if Davis’ Achilles tear doesn’t recover sufficiently, or he opts to sue himself and represent both parties in a court of law, Kelce would be a fantastic fit for Robert Griffin. Then the “Shanaclan,” – as my buddy Bloom calls Mike and Kyle – can end the Niles Paul-tight end experiment and keep him as a receiver and kick return specialist.

Happy New Year!

Reads Listens Views 12/21/2012

One of the books I'm reading. I just finished "The Reader," and "Eye-Tracking the News." About to start "Don't Make Me Think."
One of the books I’m reading. I just finished “The Reader,” and “Eye-Tracking the News.” About to start “Don’t Make Me Think.”

My weekly list of links, tunes, and reads (football and otherwise), in addition to a thank you for supporting this blog and the annual Rookie Scouting Portfolio Publication. This includes a new ‘No-Huddle Series’ piece, Some serious saxophone playing, a good mock draft from Russ Lande, a piece from Sports on Earth, and Omer Avital. Check it.

Listens – Best Stop-Time Solo Ever

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Sonny Rollins, Kennedy Honors Recipient

Thank You

Things at the RSP are about to ramp up. I am already ahead of schedule with my game study and I hope that my holiday break will get me in position to have attained 75-80 percent of my player goal for the 2013 Rookie Scouting Portfolio. This means I’ll continue to provide in-depth, play-by-play analysis and essays about prospects on the blog – including Senior Bowl coverage both here and at the New York Times Fifth Down. 

If you haven’t read the 2012 RSP, you ought to check it out. The pre-draft and post-draft publications are a package set and the feedback this year was tremendous. I will be doing the same with the 2013 publication, making the pre-draft available for download (as always) on April 1 and the post-draft publication available one week after the NFL Draft. The option to prepay – as you’ve requested – will be available the same time as last year – more on that in January.

This promotion of my work ahead comes with a thank you to those of you who read and support the blog as well as my publication. I have fantastic readers. I wish I could spend more time corresponding with those of you who take the time to send me quality stuff on a regular basis. It is something I value even if I can’t always respond in kind with equal time and effort.

Football Reads

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Lyle Lovett Tiny Desk Concert

Omer Avital In Concert

No-Huddle Series: WR Darius Johnson, SMU

June Jones says SMU's Darius Johnson is one of the best, if not the best, wide receiver he's ever coaches. Find out a little why those words should get your attention.
June Jones says SMU’s Darius Johnson is one of the best, if not the best, wide receiver he’s ever coached. Find out a little why those words should get your attention.

For more analysis of skill players like the post below, download the 2012 Rookie Scouting Portfolio. Better yet, if you’re a fantasy owner the 56-page Post-Draft Add-on comes with the 2012 RSP at no additional charge. Best, yet, 10 percent of every sale is donated to Darkness to Light to combat sexual abuse. News for the availability to prepay for the 2013 RSP and RSP Post-Draft Add-on is coming soon. 

Run and Shoot coaching disciple June Jones has coached his share of star receivers both at the college and professional level. I’ve found that his frame of reference about the position is pretty good. If he praises a player’s potential, that receiver is worth watching. Jones has coached the likes of Emmanuel Sanders and Cole Beasley in recent years.

He also had Ashley Lelie and once said that former Hawaii receiver Davone Bess reminded him of Andre Rison. If you don’t understand the nature of comparisons, read this essay so your mindset isn’t so literal about this type of analysis. Bess is a fine NFL receiver. Not a superstar, but a reliable starter with a great third-down game and potential to develop into one of the best slots weapons in the league if the Miami offense can add and develop its skill talent in the next three to five years.

So when Jones shared in a weekly press conference this season that SMU receiver Darius Johnson might be the best receiver he’s ever coached, and possibly the best athlete, that raises the old antennae.  Johnson is a 5-10, 175-pound receiver with excellent skill as a ball carrier in the open field. What stands out most about his game for me right now is his hand strength and skill to go all-out for the football.

The No-Huddle Series is not a full analysis of a player’s strengths and weaknesses. It’s just a chance to show readers why that player should be on the radar of NFL teams seeking depth with upside in the late rounds or potential street free agents with promise to develop into contributors. Johnson could become a valuable slot receiver.

A Megatron Catch From His Mini-Me

This is a first-and-10 play with 5:04 in the third quarter against Houston. Johnson is part of the trips package of a 3×1-receiver alignment from a 10-personnel pistol set. Johnson’s route is a corner route against zone. Before the play begins the Houston free safety works towards the line of scrimmage to the intermediate zone from his previous alignment deep.

Johnson is the middle receiver on the trips side and runs a corner route to the right sideline.
Johnson is the middle receiver on the trips side and runs a corner route to the right sideline.

Although the free safety works within six to seven yards of the line of scrimmage before the snap, he drops into coverage as the underneath zone defender on Johnson’s route. The cornerback outside drops into a deeper zone. SMU’s quarterback makes an ill-advised decision to target Johnson between these zones, lofting the ball up for grabs off his back foot.

It's tough enough to see Johnson, much less expect him to come down with this target.
It’s tough enough to see Johnson, much less expect him to come down with this target.

However, Johnson displays a skill set that will make some temporarily forget about the reckless decision. By the time the ball arrives within a foot of the players, the SMU receiver has timed his leap perfectly. He’s over the top of the defensive back with his hands in great position to attack the ball first.

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Johnson is first to the ball, but he’s in a position where his hands will need to be strong enough to pry the ball free from the defender from a position with gravity working against him and then control it before the defender recovers to knock it free from Johnson’s grip.

Johnson gets a great grip on the ball, and a firmer one than the defensive back.
Johnson seemingly gets a great grip on the ball, and a firmer one than the defensive back.

But to truly see how strong a grip Johnson has on the ball, it becomes even more telling how extraordinarily strong his hands are on this play when watching the position of the ball in Johnson’s hands as the receiver pulls it free from the defensive back below.

Imagine how good of a grip one has to have on the football to pull it in an upward motion when hand position is this close to the top.
Imagine how good of a grip one has to have on the football to pull it in an upward motion when hand position is this close to the top.

Not only does Johnson pull the ball free from the defender in better position, but he still has the awareness to tap both feet inside the boundary despite a second defender giving him a push in the back.

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Johnson punctuates this 21-yard gain with a great toe-tap while maintaining firm possession of the ball even as he exits the boundary.

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Darius Johnson isn’t Calvin Johnson, but this was one of the more difficult catches I’ve seen in respects both common (vertical leap-timing) and uncommon (hand strength and sideline awareness). In this contest, Johnson had two other catches where he had to make a strong adjustment to the football and in both cases he snatched the ball like he was practicing with a JUGS machine. I’m looking forward to seeing more – especially if he earns a postseason invitation to an all-star game and he faces single coverage and press corners. If he fares well, I think he might have a future as a potential dynamo in the slot. Stay tuned.

WR Justin Hunter: Unvarnished Moss

Tennessee wide receiver Justin Hunter is the focus of a multiple-post series this week at the RSP blog. Hunter is a phenomenal physical talent with natural hands and the scary part is that he’s still raw. Photo by Wade Rackley.

If you attempt to keep up he’ll run by you. If you try to get in his way he’ll run around you. And in those cases you succeed in sticking close, he’ll leap over you. Tennessee wide receiver Justin Hunter is a 6-4, 200 lb., gazelle in pads.

There are only two players that I have studied in recent years that have the athleticism to even be mentioned stylistically within the same sentence as Randy Moss. The first his Cincinnati wide receiver A.J. Green, who has done enough on an NFL field to convince me that he belongs within the same stylistic tier as the all-time great vertical threat. Give Green a quarterback commensurate with his ability and the Moss-like stats will follow.

The other player is Hunter. While his potential is in the same neighborhood his play has yet to reach the same subdivision. Hunter has experienced his share of big drops this year, including a deep target against Alabama in late October. I watched two of Hunter’s games thus far – this year’s N.C. State game in Atlanta and a match up with Cincinnati – and I came away ambivalent.

In terms of ceiling, you might strain your neck trying to find were Hunter’s upside ends. However, there are basics flaws to Hunter’s game that might as well have him chained to the ground. Both Randy Moss and A.J. Green were refined talents for by rookie standards – and perhaps even by veteran standards. Even Jets receiver Stephen Hill wasn’t as raw as Hunter when I evaluated him last year. When a player like Hunter in a passing game that has a lot of pro-style tendencies is less polished than a former Georgia Tech receiver in a triple-option offensive system, it’s a concern.

Volunteers head coach Derek Dooley has a similar assessment.

“First, it has to happen with more consistency in practice. Justin has got to understand that playing receiver is not always clean and easy [and] that there’s a little grit that you have to do to get open. You’re going to have to get hit. Good receivers are going to make those kind of plays no matter what the circumstance. He’s not there yet. We all want to talk about how he’s this first-round pick and the No.1 pick in the draft and he can be that, but he has never performed to that standard in my opinion. And he knows that. So he needs to focus on his development and what does he do well, what are some things that we have got to keep building on, and how do we get there. He’s got great character, it’s important to him, and he’s got a lot of special qualities as a wide out. But being able to go produce out there week after week is what matters.”

What I hear Dooley saying is that Hunter isn’t working on the fine points of his game in practice. When it’s time to execute he makes mistakes because he hasn’t ingrained all the teachings that the Tennessee program has tried to impart on him. On some level, Hunter has been coasting on his first-round athleticism. Otherwise a head coach – especially a head coach whose father was an SEC head coach and athletic director – wouldn’t challenge his player publicly.

Hunter’s deficiencies aren’t difficult to spot. This is the first part of a series of posts about Hunter and how this fantastic talent is holding himself back from potential greatness.

Why Hunter is making the term “receiver” a bad word

This is a first-and-goal slant with 2:30 in the third quarter. Hunter is in the slot in a 1×2 receiver, 11-personnel pistol set. N.C. State has a linebacker two steps inside of Hunter and a defensive back three yards over the top of the receiver at the hash. Just before the snap, the linebacker tips his hand that he’s blitzing, which leaves Hunter one-on-one with the defensive back and a likely opening behind the linebacker inside. Both Hunter and his quarterback make this read and are on the same page as the center snaps the ball.

Hunter begins his release from the line of scrimmage with good intensity. His shoulders are over his knees and he is working downhill. A strong release is often a receiver’s best chance to set up a defender early in a route, especially a quick-hitting route like the slant.

Hunter’s first mistake comes just a few steps into his release when he tips off his break by raising his torso, which is a big indicator that he’s about to change direction.

Hunter’s body language is indicating to the defender, “don’t get into a back pedal” because I’m not running behind you. As you can see the N.C. State defensive back is a good listener to body language be he’s on his toes and waiting. You’ll see in the next step that the defensive back also knows that the slant is the most likely route that Hunter will run if his linebacker teammate is blitzing.

Hunter makes a sharp jab step to the outside to set up his inside break, but the defensive back isn’t buying the outside move at all. He plants his outside leg to time his burst inside at the exact same time as the receiver. If the defender were fooled, he would be a step behind or caught moving in the opposite direction of the break. Even a phenom’s physical advantages are diminished on short routes. It’s like the old wrestling adage that all men are the same size when they’re on the mat.

Making matters worse, Hunter’s break lacks control because he slips during the change of direction and exits the break leaning too far forward and out of position to have his hands and arms to adjust to the football. Slants are tight-window passes and expecting perfect accuracy every time is setting the bar too high, even in the pros. A receiver can help his quarterback when he’s in a position to use his back to shield the defender while turning his torso into position to catch the ball in any of the windows that the ball may arrive: ahead, on his body, or slightly behind him. Unless this throw is in front or low and away, Hunter is going to have a difficult time making a reception if the ball arrives within the next two steps of his route.

Just a step later, Hunter is still trying to regain his balance. The receiver’s poor beginning to his route renders his long arms and big hands useless unless the pass arrives at his shins about six inches off the turf.  When Hunter regains his footing and his body is upright, his hands and arms are the last – and most important – parts of his body to get in position to catch the football.

Hunter’s hands are far apart and one is palm-side up while the other is palm-side down. If this were the only play I planned to show I’d be cherry-picking my analysis, but I’m going to show this poor hand positioning on two other plays where he has no excuse to demonstrate more technique and polish as a pass catcher. The biggest takeaway from this play is Hunter’s body position before and after his break that telegraphs his intentions to the covering defender and hamstrings his balance when changing direction, which makes his route running inefficient and detracts from his one goal: catching the football.

Hunter manages to pull it together and get his hands close enough that they are in a position to catch an oncoming pass. That’s the good news. The bad news is that Hunter’s hand position isn’t optimal for catching a pass. If this pass were to arrive below the waist, Hunter’s palms-up technique is the proper way to field the ball. This pass arrives just above his waist and behind him and it would be better if he attempts to field this ball with his palms down and his fingers pointing skyward.

The reason has more to do with the ball arriving behind him and the location of the defender rather than the height of the arriving pass. Think of your hand position when you are taking an option and receiving it. A palms-up position in this situation is a passive attempt to catch a pass – it’s “receiving,” in the literal sense. A receiver with his palms up is waiting for the ball to come to him. If I were a coach, one of the little things I’d insist on doing is renaming the position from “receiver,” to “snatcher.” The natural hand position for actively taking an object is with the palms down (or at least sideways) and to amp that action to the level of aggression that I would want from my pass catchers “taking” would evolve to “snatching.” It’s all about ingraining an attitude with a team.

Hunter’s technique flaw comes into focus as the ball arrives. It’s far more difficult for a receiver to extend his arms and catch the ball because his hands aren’t in position to generate the widest possible surface area to control the ball. From a visual perspective, Hunter’s hands are like a landing strip when they need to be a spider web.

This pass requires an aggressive response and there’s no way Hunter can extend his arms to the first available window with his arms in this position to take the football away from his opponent. As the ball arrives, the defender extends his outside arm across Hunter’s chest. If Hunter had his arms extended with his palms up, the defender would have to interfere with Hunter to reach the oncoming pass.

Even if the official doesn’t call a penalty on the defender, Hunter still has a fighting catch to catch the football because his arms will be over the defender’s and his hands will reach the ball first. The defender will have a more difficult time ripping the ball loose with an upward motion than he does with a downward thrust. Hunter would have been in position to lift the ball away unimpeded. That’s the difference between “receiving” and “snatching,” and why hands technique is so important in tight quarters.

Part II: More examples of correctable technique flaws that are holding back Hunter from his vast potential.

For more analysis of skill players entering the NFL, download the 2012 Rookie Scouting Portfolio. Better yet, if you’re a fantasy owner the 56-page Post-Draft Add-on comes with the 2012 RSP at no additional charge. Best, yet, 10 percent of every sale is donated to Darkness to Light to combat sexual abuse. The 2013 Rookie Scouting Portfolio will be available for download here on April 1, 2013. 

RB-OL Collisions: Reading the Road with Marcus Lattimore

[youtube=http://youtu.be/B22ckUxr0D8]

A criticism I read about a few college running backs this week was the tendency for some of them to run up the back of offensive linemen. Sometimes this is a fair criticism of a player. However, it’s also an observation that requires a strong frame of reference about the critic. It’s easy to evaluate a running back, see him run into a lineman’s back, and conclude that he lacks patience, agility, or good decision-making.

However, there are numerous examples of plays where a running back is not at fault for colliding with the backsides of his blockers. Considering the number of Tweets I saw this week where this conclusion was made about a back, I thought it might be helpful to provide examples of when this type of behavior is not the fault of the runner. I’m using South Carolina running back Marcus Lattimore and his teammates as an example. Continue reading

Separating The Dark From The Dark: QB Tyler Wilson, Victim or Perpetrator?

Prologue: M. Degas Teaches Art & Science At Durfee Intermediate School by Phillip Levine

Even 2.9 seconds of football can generate an hour of analysis. Photo by Erik Daniel Drost.

I love the phrase “separating the dark from the dark.” It signifies that we never have certainty about anything despite the fact that we often want to manufacture a world filled with absolutes. Life is rarely black and white. Pulitzer Prize winning writer Phillip Levine, a former factory worker who often writes about work-class life in Detroit, draws a great portrait Continue reading

Texas WR Marquise Goodwin: The Angles of Separation Part II

Austin Collie would lose a footrace to Marquis Goodwin every time, but at this point I’ll take Collie on a deep route over Goodwin every day. Learn why you would, too. Photo by Angie Six.

For more analysis of skill players like the post below, download the 2012 Rookie Scouting Portfolio. Better yet, if you’re a fantasy owner the 56-page Post-Draft Add-on comes with the 2012 RSP at no additional charge. Best, yet, 10 percent of every sale is donated to Darkness to Light to combat sexual abuse. Here’s an update on my pledge.

Texas Longhorns receiver Marquise Goodwin is a world-class long jumper with track star speed. Earlier this week, I broke down a play of Goodwin’s that shows how he had to do a better job of using his body to prevent a defender from gaining access to his hip pocket as the ball arrived. Here is the second of the two posts I promised. This is also from the December bowl game versus Cal and it underscores the importance of body position to maximize his speed.  It also illustrates my oft-mentioned point that athleticism might be a game changer in college football, but it’s merely a baseline for the NFL. Continue reading