Posts tagged NFL

2nd Annual RSP Writers Project: Project Draft

So where will RGIII go in a Writer's Draft? We'll soon know as the 2nd Annual RSP Writer's Project gets underway. Photo by Mike Davis.
So where will RGIII go in a Writer’s Draft? We’ll soon know as the 2nd Annual RSP Writer’s Project gets underway. Photo by Mike Davis.
Editor’s Note: Sigmund Bloom will be leading the 2nd Annual RSP Writer’s Project. If you missed the first Writer’s Project, we fielded teams with a salary cap. Here is Bloom’s letter to last year’s participants inviting them to the second iteration of this project. More coming soon.

By Sigmund Bloom, Senior Writer/Co-Owner, Footballguys

Football talk and analysis never ends, and we want to facilitate with another round of the RSP Writer’s Project. Last year, we built rosters within a salary cap structure. This year, we’re going to go with a format everyone loves: drafting. Here’s the idea:
  • 32 owners
  • Draft order will be random.
  • 2nd and 3rd rounds will be reverse of 1st to offset big advantage of picking in top half of first half, and then it will be snake (order reverses every round) from there on out.
  • Length will be open-ended, but we’ll try to wind up before camps start for sure, and maybe earlier if we lose steam.

The point is to build the “core” of your franchise. What we’ll expect from each writer:

  • Writers will make a pick within 24 hours of when “on the clock.”
  • Give us as much as you want (at least a paragraph or two) about why you made the choice that you did within 24-48 hours of turning in the pick.
  • Feel free to talk about other players you considered, your overall strategy, picks you liked before yours that you were hoping for… whatever you want.
  • The fun part of this is making your thought process transparent, which in turn illuminates so much about what you think about the NFL
What we’ll do:
  • Keep an updated lists of picks made for reference on mattwaldmanrsp.com.
  • Publish your commentary – possibly with a little commentary of our own.
  • Publicize the project and picks on Twitter.
  • Encourage audience commentary and participation.

Once we get 32 franchises, it should be pretty easy to get the word out and get this thing rolling. In addition to snapshots of how the brightest football minds approach building a franchise, we’ll also get a nice top 150 most valuable players in the game or more based on the consensus of this supercomputer of football thinking.

Reads Listens Views 2/1/2013

Here's a Super Bowl moment embedded in the hype worth remembering. Photo by Mark Humphrey.
Here’s a Super Bowl moment embedded in the hype worth remembering. Photo by Mark Humphrey.

Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Super Bowl (10 hours of pre-game over analysis of things like Ray Lewis’s pre-game dance, a hangnail on Joe Flacco’s non-throwing pinkie finger). Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Super Bowl (Have a drink). Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Super Bowl (Inject a quart of nacho cheese.) Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Super Bowl (Look forward to commercials as a break from hyper-analysis of the metaphorical nature of the image in Colin Kaepernick’s tattoo near his inside left bicep). Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Super Bowl (Based on endorsements all former players and coaches must be overweight and flaccid.) Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Super Bowl (Wait! It’s Fred Flintstone eating Applebees with the bachelor!) Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Super Bowl (Need more beer to calm myself from the frenzy of hyper screen cuts, hyper analysis, hyper Tweeting, hyper orgy of consumption.) Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Super Bowl (Lost my Valentine’s Day budget on ridiculous prop bets).

Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Super Bowl (Hoping Beyonce’s skirt malfunctions since you know Valentine’s Day will be a fiasco after losing ridiculous prop bet.) Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Super Bowl (I can’t see the game because all my friends who don’t know shit about football are over here with takes that I think would get me fired – but in all likelihood a bigger gig if I wrote 500-word columns and Tweet-bombed readers into oblivion 18 hours a day). Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Super Bowl (I could only write 500 word columns once a week if I Tweet-bombed people 18 hours a day – hmmm, but twice the readers? Super!)  Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Super Bowl (Based on the state of water cooler journalism, perhaps it doesn’t matter). Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Super Bowl (Patrick Willis just ripped Anquan Boldin’s arm off). Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Did a baby day trader just try to make it rain from his bassinet – ooooh, that’s cuter than road kill). Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Super Bowl (Boldin is probable to return in the next series). Super Bowl. Super Bowl Super Bowl. Super Bowl (Injury lawyers have Boldin on their 2018 calendar to speed dial him). Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Super Bowl (I hear gunshots. Is Canada invading? No honey, that’s just our neighbors having target practice in their backyard. In our subdivision? That, or they are ending an argument. Or was that the sound of Saints player with a rifle pointed at Roger Goodell? Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Super Bowl. Super Bowl.

What? It’s Super Bowl – I’m drunk, over-stimulated,  lost my money, lost any chance at scoring on Valentine’s Day, and my team lost the game.

Enjoy your Super Bowl Weekend.

Listens-Duane Allman+Wes Montgomery+Ravi Shankar = Derek Trucks

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Fitting equation from a listener commenting on this video on YouTube. I first heard of Trucks when I was 17 and visiting Savannah for concert I’d be performing with a bunch of other high school musicians. I was on River Street with my buddies and there was a sign near the outdoor stage noting that the Derek Trucks band would be playing there. My eventual college roommate raved about this little kid-guitarist back then.  In hindsight he was quite a talent scout. So you know, he became a future CEO of a major record label.  Amazing who you meet in life.

Football Reads

Non-Football Reads

By Fikret Onal

Views

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“Bandit” wants to train with the big boys. Innocence and persistence at its finest.

Thanks

Made it this far?

Its always good to get new followers at the blog and on Twitter and there are a lot of new readers. If you’re new to the RSP blog here are some links that I think will help you learn what you’ll get here:

  • 2013 NFL  Draft Analysis – This link as a running collection of analysis I’ve written – including Sr. Bowl coverage.
  • 2012 NFL Draft Analysis – Just like above, but for 2012.
  • What is the RSP? – New to the Rookie Scouting Portfolio? I have an annual publication that is available for download April 1 and available for prepayment now. This is why folks come here.
  • 2013 RSP Players – Players I’ve studied for the April publication – a running list.

Every Friday, I post links to football and non-football reads as well as links to photos, music, and videos that catch my eye while I’m surfing. This week will have a more decided Sr. Bowl theme. If you’re new, I suggest you follow the blog and either signup for email notifications for content or add to your RSS Feed. And thanks to my loyal readers for the views, the feedback, and those who demanded I offer a prepayment option for the 2013 Rookie Scouting Portfolio.

As Martha Stewart says, “Peace-out, Homey.”

Reads Listens Views 1/18/2013

Life of Pi

This week on Reads Listens Views: Lance Zierlein with a round of “Microwave Scouting”; Ryan Riddle tells you what it was like to participate in a college all-star game; Andy Benoit previews the conference championships; three books I read this month that I think most of you will enjoy; experimental Latin music; and the 2013 RSP is available for pre-payment.

Prepayment for the 2013 Rookie Scouting Portfolio is Available

If you’re one of my readers who, over the years, has convinced me to offer prepayment (thank you), now’s the time. The 2013 RSP is available for $19.95 and will be available for download April (as usual). If you’ve purchased the RSP in the past, you can prepay at this link. You also get the post-draft add-on a week after the draft that includes tiered fantasy rankings, average dynasty draft spot data, team fit analysis, sleepers, UDFAs to watch, and dynasty drafting tips. It’s a second magazine-sized publication that is included with the purchase of the pre-draft publication. Past issues (2006-2012) are available for $9.95 apiece and the RSP donates 10 percent of every sale to Darkness to Light to train communities to recognize and prevent the dynamics of sexual abuse.

Senior Bowl

Once again, I’ll be at the Senior Bowl with Jene Bramel and Cecil Lammey. We’ll be covering practices and media night for the New York Times Fifth Down and Lammey’s ESPN affiliate as well as providing analysis and interviews here at the RSP blog. Stay tuned.

[youtube=http://youtu.be/jW4lDSx1GbQ]

Reads

Non-Football Reads

Here are three books I’ve read this month and I’d bet most of you will enjoy at least two of them.

  • Life of Pi by Yann Martel – I’m looking forward to seeing the movie, but the book was so good I might read it again before taking in Ang Lee’s vision of this story about an Indian Boy who is stranded on a lifeboat in the Pacific with a zebra, an orangutan, a hyena, and a Bengal tiger. The story is far less fantastical than it appears. However it is fantastic on every level.
  • The Financial Lives of Poets by Jess WalterThis is essentially what I hope to hear doesn’t happen to Chris Brown or Chase Stuart in 15 years when mid-life crisis hits. This novel is a lot of fun and will make you laugh out loud.
  • Killing Johnny Fry by Walter Mosely – Walter Mosely is one of my favorite writers. This is a much different story than his mystery novels – it’s a ‘sexistential novel.’ Not for everyone, but a good read nonetheless.

Listens

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Football Godfather: Russell Wilson (Seattle Seahawks)

No one can claim they were the "first" aboard the Russell Wilson bandwagon, but I certainly helped cut down some trees to build the wagon. Photo by Neal D.
No one can claim they were the “first” aboard the Russell Wilson bandwagon, but I certainly helped cut down some trees to build the wagon. Photo by Neal D.

I’ve been asked 2-3 times a day for the past two weeks what my take on Russell Wilson was before the season. I know many of you have read my thoughts on the Seattle quarterback, but I’m going to share those original takes, some thoughts about leadership and why Wilson could be the football equivalent of Al Pacino in the Godfather. I’m also sharing a sample of my 2012 RSP Post-Draft Overall Tiered Dynasty Cheatsheet in this post for those who are new to the Rookie Scouting Portfolio – especially those seeking a reason why they should be get the RSP publication every April.

Cheat Sheet

This cheat sheet is separated into color coded tiers. Blue highlight are top‐tier picks. I expect them to make an instant fantasy impact as at least bye‐week options and within 2‐3 years develop into quality starters capable of QB1, RB1, WR1, or TE1 production. Green highlight are players that have similar upside as the top tier, but on average will need more time or work to see the field as a starter or regular contributor.

Red highlight are eventual starters, but may need 2‐3 years to attain that status. On average, this group’s upside is not as great as the preceding tiers. White highlight have the potential to develop into talented situational players within 2‐3 years. Some may exceed this projection and even become stars, but fewer in this tier have that potential than the tiers preceding them. Yellow highlight are projected backups. Just like the positional rankings, players in bold are prospects that I believe are undervalued and have the upside to develop into starters regardless of their starting point.

Value Designation

Next to each player is a value that I generated based on analysis of nine dynasty drafts. Note that it is so early in the dynasty drafting season that these values may not prove accurate even 2‐3 weeks from now. Proceed with caution with this designation and only consider it a guidepost. I calculated the average pick number for each player and I developed a designation is shorthand for the difference between how I value a player and his average spot selected:

  • Par –
  • OverX
  • Under X

“Par” means I valued the player within +/‐ 5 picks of his average spot selected. Over “X” means I value the player at least five spots lower than his average spot selected. The X represents the number I would add to the players’ average selected spot to feel he’s at his appropriate value according to my rankings. Stephen Hill is an “Over 11.” I think he’s overrated by 11 spots of his average selection spot. He’s average pick spot is 12.8 (pick 12 or 13). Add 11 spots to it and I think if a fantasy owner can get Hill with pick 23 he got good value. Realistically this won’t happen in many drafts, but it should help readers reconcile how to approach my rankings and average value. If Hill were an “Under 11,” then I’m recommending 11 spots be subtracted from his average selection spot and either pick him earlier or recognize there is value on the draft board. Note: Not all players will have a value designation.

Quarterback Running Back
(2) Andrew Luck  Par IND (1) Trent Richardson Par CLE
(3) Robert Griffin  Par WAS (4) Doug Martin Par TB
(12) Ryan Tannehill Under 6 MIA (7) David Wilson Par NYG
(13) Russell Wilson Under 27 SEA (8) Ronnie Hillman Under 10 DEN

Wilson’s Value Designation of Under 27 was the largest value of the 122 players I ranked on the full cheatsheet. Admittedly, Ryan Lindley, who was second, with an Under 22, didn’t fare so well – but I would take his situation into some account as well. On the other hand, Dwayne Allen (Under 14), T.Y. Hilton (Under 14), and Chris Givens (Under 10) were pretty good. I think you can see why I liked the Colts draft this year.

Wilson's on-field leadership reminds me of Al Pacino's Godfather: quiet and ruthless (photo by Football Schedule).
Wilson’s on-field leadership reminds me of Al Pacino’s Godfather: quiet and ruthless (photo by Football Schedule).

Back to Wilson. My greatest concerns about him was whether there would be a team willing to buck the old-guard mentality about quarterback height. You can see this caution diminish as the pieces I share with you below progress from pre-draft to post-draft. If you’re new to the RSP blog or somehow missed my thoughts on Wilson here’s what I have been saying about him:

  • Futures: Studying The Asterisk: My debut column at Football Outsiders was an analysis of Russell Wilson’s game, not at Wisconsin – where he had a line bigger than most NFL teams that dominated most opponents – but at NC State, where I believe he faced more aggressive and athletic defenses and thrived with a lesser collection of talent. In this analysis I show definitely that Wilson has the arm, anticipation, and improvisational smarts to become a starting NFL quarterback. I compared Wilson’s style to Drew Brees in his early-April analysis and then analyzed Bree’s game in this piece to show how an NFL team would have no problem finding open passing lanes for Wilson. In other words, without having to say it – the idea that Wilson was too short was hardened bullshit lodged in the minds of football traditionalists whose logic against Brees wasn’t based on the game as much as it was based on past biases ingrained in the game.
  • Undersized-Underrated: This blog post explains why Wilson’s work in Wisconsin’s offense that thrives with the running game and takes its shots deep with a play action game featuring movement, would easily transfer to the NFL. The Seahawks used a lot of these play action concepts for Wilson to be successful down field this year.
  • Russell Wilson, Drew Brees, Prince, James Brown, Jimi Hendrix and the Difficulty of Comparisons: This piece is not just about Russell Wilson, but why player comparisons are often misunderstood. This column is one I’ve still have readers mention to me months later.

Elsewhere

Thoughts Today

I have to say that I’m a converted Seahawks fan and Wilson’s addition and success with the team has been the final nail in the coffin of my history with the Tennessee Titans. I followed the Titans because Steve McNair, Eddie George, and a tough defense played a physically and emotionally resilient brand of football that reminded me of my beloved 1980s Cleveland Browns before Art Modell took them to Baltimore where the last vestiges of that team remains today.  My wife is probably having involuntary nervous ticks just from the fact I’m putting this story out here in the universe once again, because she’s heard it so often in such a short period of time. It’s my own personal Three Stooges’ Niagara Falls story.

I can’t cheer for the Ravens because in my heart that city didn’t get my team the right way. Baltimore should have known better than city not to lure a team away from city with a tradition as deep as Cleveland’s. I’m not mad at Ravens fans. It’s not their fault, really. It’s just the nature of business. But It’s painful watching the Ravens. I love Ray Rice’s game. I was chopping wood for his bandwagon as early as Russell Wilson’s. I went to the University of Miami, so don’t even talk to me about Ray Lewis. He should have been a Brown. He is a Brown. They just sent him to the wrong city. Ozzie Newsome was one of my all-time favorite players. The fact he’s such a good GM for what was my team, feels like he’s the NFL Anakin Skywalker turned Darth Vader thanks to the evil emperor Art Modell.

Again, I know it’s just business. Modell isn’t the only one at fault here. The Cleveland city government and Modell were like two dysfunctional spouses screwing up their kids – the people of the city – at every turn.  So for those of you who are all about loyalty, and stuck with the team in Cleveland known as the Browns I respect that. Perhaps one day I will have a team I’m loyal to again, but nearly 20 years with the Titans has been a good run. I hope to have the same kind of run with the Seahawks.

I share this with you because the resiliency is hard not to notice with Wilson. He’s the beacon for this team. Watching him in the season opener against a Cardinals defense that gave the Patriots fits later that month, Wilson had that game won for the Seahawks if not for a Braylon Edwards’ dropped pass. Wilson put that ball exactly where it was supposed to go and you could tell by his reaction that he expected to win this game. He’s such a polished guy when it comes to the way he interacts with others, but what I notice is that quiet, laser-focused intensity.

If I were to characterize the five rookie starters from this draft class, here’s what I see and understand this is infotainment more than hard-hitting analysis:

  • Andrew Luck: The Colts quarterback is the type of guy that you probably want to hate based on all the hype of him being the most prepared NFL prospect with the most smarts for the game since Peyton Manning. But as you get acquainted with him, you realize that he doesn’t take that shit seriously. What he does care about is football and he’s a football player first, quarterback second. He’ll knock the slobber out of defenders as a blocker and if he throws an interception, he’ll try to put that guy on the sideline for the rest of the game with a good hit. You can’t hate him for being a front-runner because he earns that title every day.
  • Robert Griffin: Griffin’s the guy that you know has potential to be a tall tale in every way and when he arrives in your locker room, you still can’t believe it. Everything is off the charts: speed, agility, execution, intelligence, and most of all the willingness to humbly grind yet balance it with leadership that belies his years. He’s also a nasty-tough player with Steve McNair-like toughness that turned Dr. James Andrews into a soap opera starlet last week.
  • Ryan Tannehill: Tannehill is that kid in backyard pickup games who looks like an average guy but when it’s time to pick teams he does himself no favors by telling the captains to pick him first because he’s the best player of the bunch. They dismiss what they think is noise and wait to pick him last. He then proceeds to make a strong case to prove his point, which is exceedingly painful to the competition while you’re feeling pretty lucky that you didn’t let him slip by. I think that’s what Tannehill did at Texas A&M as the walk-on when he told Mike Sherman the coach made a mistake not to award him the starting job over Jerrod Johnson. Still, he accepted the role of wide receiver and was the best one on the team. When he got his shot at quarterback, he was excellent at times. There’s a lot to like about Tannehill’s NFL future.
  • Brandon Weeden: There’s a laid-back, Cowboy thrill ride going on with this guy. He likes being aggressive and he doesn’t worry about making mistakes. There’s a little Brett Favre in him in that respect – both good and bad. I kind of see him as Slim Pickens riding the bomb in Dr. Strangelove. There are times he freaks you out, but you can’t help but like his daring.

Then there’s Wilson. To me, Wilson is like the Godfather. Quiet, charming, refined, but he’ll rip your heart out.  I’m sitting with 20 of my best Footballguys in Vegas two weeks ago, and we’re watching the Seahawks fall behind early, but I didn’t even worry because Wilson is all business. I initially thought the same thing when Atlanta was up 13-0 and Brian Billick was commenting on the lack of emotion on the sidelines. While I wasn’t optimistic at half-time, there is one thing I recognize with Wilson that I learned in my days a manager: teams adopt the attitude of strong leadership.

Let me emphasize that I said strong leadership, not good leadership. In my past business life, I knew a manager who was a strong leader, but he thrived on chaos. He got great short-term results but he wore everyone out at every turn and he burned bridges. He was eventually promoted and his successor turned out to be a good leader. The successor was a strong leader but he was quiet about it.

He focused on the details. He believed that separation from the competition came from preparation and focus. He also believed it mean staying calm and focused on the little adjustments when things weren’t going well and eventually you’d be back in game. When his bombastic boss would try to to instill his brand of over the top leadership (and don’t get me wrong, high intensity, vocal leadership can also be great) based on chaos to this manager’s operation, he’d quietly ask his boss to meet with him about something urgent in an office and then light into his boss. I saw it and it was pretty impressive in this situation because he fought for ownership of his style, had proof of results, and set the boundaries of expectations for his boss’ behavior while managing upward.

This quiet leader’s team took on his persona and that operation was one of the best of its kind that I saw in my years in that industry. Russell Wilson reminds me of that guy. Pete Carroll shared with the media that Wilson told the Seahawks that he had issues with past coaches and went into detail. Carroll liked this about Wilson, while it worried others. I don’t know what Wilson said, but I’d bet money that Wilson’s issues were things he shared openly, honestly, and professionally with coaches and Carroll like that because he’s not some 1950s, square-cut throwback in a leadership role who doesn’t really know anything about leadership.  As long as Wilson stays healthy and the Seahawks can continue to develop talent around him, he’ll be special.

Reads Listens Views 1/11/2013

Combine this lunch at Saucy Q with the New York Times Fifth Down Blog Practice Reports and you almost have the complete Senior Bowl experience at home. Photo by Cecil Lammey.
Combine this lunch at Saucy Q with the New York Times Fifth Down Blog Practice Reports and you almost have the complete Senior Bowl experience at home. Photo by Cecil Lammey.

New RSP Blog Menus

I’m always looking for ways to improve content navigation on this site. Yesterday, I added an NFL Draft menu that features links to all player analysis I featured on this blog, Football Outsiders, and the New York Times Fifth Down. These pieces are on individual pages according to the year I published them: 2011, 2012, and (thus far) 2013. Players are listed by position and alphabetized. Hopefully this makes your life easier.

Prepayment for the 2013 Rookie Scouting Portfolio is Available

If you’re one of my readers who, over the years, has convinced me to offer prepayment (thank you), now’s the time. The 2013 RSP is available for $19.95 and will be available for download April (as usual). You also get the post-draft add-on a week after the draft that includes tiered fantasy rankings, average dynasty draft spot data, team fit analysis, sleepers, UDFAs to watch, and dynasty drafting tips. It’s a second magazine-sized publication that is included with the purchase of the pre-draft publication. Past issues (2006-2012) are available for $9.95 apiece and the RSP donates 10 percent of every sale to Darkness to Light to train communities to recognize and prevent the dynamics of sexual abuse.

Senior Bowl

Once again, I’ll be at the Senior Bowl with Jene Bramel and Cecil Lammey. We’ll be covering practices and media night for the New York Times Fifth Down and Lammey’s ESPN affiliate as well as providing analysis and interviews here. Stay tuned.

Views

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Football Reads

Non-Football Reads

Listens

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Reads Listens Views 1/4/2013

Has the RSP been your MVP (Most Valuable Publication)? The 2013 edition, like Adrian Peterson, is on schedule (Photo by Langzi).
Has the RSP been your MVP (Most Valuable Publication)? The 2013 edition, like Adrian Peterson, is on schedule  to deliver the goods (Photo by Langzi).

Now Accepting Prepayment for the 2013 RSP

I’m spending the weekend with a bunch of Footballguys  watching the playoffs and talking shop. Meanwhile here’s some welcome news for those of you who have asked me when you can prepay for the 2013 RSP. The answer is now: If you wish to prepay for the April 1 download of the 2013 Rookie Scouting Portfolio, you can do so at www.mattwaldman.com. I have already evaluated 130 skill players for the 2013 edition and just like last year, included with the purchase of the RSP will be access to download the wildly popular, Post-Draft Add-On. I publish this updated analysis after the NFL Draft and it includes updated positional rankings, tiered fantasy rankings, ceiling scores, and a ton of post-draft analysis that comes as part of the 2013 RSP purchase. With 10 percent of each sale going to Darkness to Light, it’s a must-have for draftniks, football fans, and fantasy owners.

New RSP Blog Series – The Boiler Room

Photo by Sebastian Niedlich
Photo by Sebastian Niedlich

[People] don’t like to break a player down, look at his particulars. That involves details. Most people get bored with details. Because in order to look at the details, you have to love what you’re doing, and you have to be highly motivated. I loved playing football. I relished the details.

– Jim Brown

One of the challenges involved with player analysis is to be succinct with delivering the goods. As the author of an annual tome, I’m often a spectacular failure in this respect. Even so, I will often study a prospect and see a play unfold that does a great job of encapsulating that player’s skills. When I witness these moments, I imagine that if I were part of the production team at a major network putting together highlights for a draft show or I was working for an NFL organization creating cut-ups for a personnel director, I try to imagine if this highlight will boil down this prospect to his essentials.

That’s the thinking behind The Boiler Room – analysis of what makes a player worth drafting by boiling down as much as I can into a single play. Unlike the No-Huddle Series, The Boiler Room is focused on prospects I expect to be drafted, and often before the fourth round. My first subject of the series will be 2013 Rose Bowl MVP Stepfan Taylor. Read it Monday morning.

Views – Kenny Garret, Kenny Kirkland, Jeff “Tain” Watts, and Robert Hurst Blowing the Roof Off

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Listens

Football Reads

Non-Football Reads

  • The Lives They Lived  – A good series that featured those who died in 2012 by focusing on how they lived.
  • Living Apart: Fair Housing In America – There were three pillars created to desegregate America. Perhaps the most important is the one that is least enforced.
  • Segregation Study – See how things of changed (Atlanta) or how they basically stayed the same (Cleveland).

What is Integrated Technique?

Brandon Lloyd embodies the term
Brandon Lloyd embodies the term “integrated skill sets,” see below. Photo by Jeffery Beall.

In the world of draftniks, the word ‘intangibles’ is often a catchall term that explains a smart player without NFL skill sets. Sometimes those using the term make the mistake to include players who possess what I call an integrated skill set. Find out what that means and why it’s the difference between a good prospect and a good NFL player

I dislike the term ‘intangibles.’ NFL Films analyst and producer Greg Cosell often says that when he hears someone describe a player as either ‘a winner’ or possessing great intangibles his first reaction is that it’s probably a sign that he can’t play. It’s practically a sound byte of his between February and August.

I understand his inclination to make this conclusion, because if no physical skill or positional craft come to mind as the first things you’d say about a player then it’s a potential red flag. It’s like a man or woman describing a potential date for a friend as having a great personality but omitting any description of looks. Just like dating, we want to be physically impressed by football players.

There are players with good, if not great, physical skills but what really separates them from the pack is their ability to make unusual or consistently timely plays. Sometimes these plays are a matter of awareness of what’s happening on the field that few can assimilate into action this fast. Other examples involve more physical skill that happens at such a high rate of speed and fluidity of movement that the act appears instinctive.

I don’t believe it’s instinctive. I believe it’s learned behavior. Perhaps intuitive, but even so, I believe intuition comes from experience enough situations to react quickly and in control – especially as an athlete.

Brandon Lloyd is one of the most intuitive pass catchers in the history of the game. His physical dimensions are average at best for an NFL receiver and his speed is below average. But when it comes to his spatial awareness of the ball, his body, his opponent’s body, and the field of play, he’s straight out of the Matrix Trilogy.

[youtube=http://youtu.be/Q31BRc3RgyE]

The first catch on this highlight video is still one of the most amazing feats I have ever seen on a football field. If you haven’t had your quota of sick catches for the day here are more. You’re welcome.

Despite this caliber of talent being easy to spot in receivers, it’s not limited to the position. It’s not limited to football. Knicks point guard Jason Kidd has always had it. It’s why at 39 he’s still playing at a high level.

What these players have in common is a keen awareness and control of one’s body in relationship to his environment. Some might define this as an aspect of on-field awareness or football intelligence. It also qualifies to some degree as uncanny athleticism.

To define this awareness further, I see players like Northern Illinois wide receiver Martel Moore (who you can read about in this Saturday’s Futures at Football Outsiders) exhibit skills that are difficult to teach a player at a stage of development as advanced as someone playing college football: catching the football with a wide radius from one’s body and accurately tracking its arrival from a difficult angle all while gauging the position and distance of an opponent or boundary. This caliber of skill is really an integration of several individual traits like balance, timing, athleticism, and hand-eye coordination. Several prospects are lauded every year for possessing one or more of these individual traits, but they often cannot put them together on the football field when it counts.

Perhaps the best way to describe what I’m talking about is to say that Moore, and players like him, often exhibit what I’m now going to say is an integrated skill set–or Integrated Technique, another way to define the “IT Factor”.

Robert Meachem is a player who has struggled to integrate his skill sets despite having physical talent that is Pro Bowl-caliber. Photo by Vamostigres.
Robert Meachem is a player who has struggled to integrate his skill sets despite having physical talent that is Pro Bowl-caliber. Photo by Vamostigres.

Brandon Lloyd has integrated skill sets. Robert Meachem has a bunch of physical skills that don’t integrate well on the football field and it’s why he routinely struggles. David Wilson and Bryce Brown have some amazing amounts of integrated skill sets, but ball security was so disconnected with the rest of their games that they have required an adjustment period despite flashing a ton of talent. Colin Kaepernick’s arm, physical strength, and speed, intelligence at the line of scrimmage, and accuracy on timing throws are becoming integrated skill sets. However, ball placement according to the location of the receiver in relation to coverage is not yet integrated into his game. If it were, Randy Moss and Vernon Davis would have each scored twice against the Patriots.

As this 2013 draft evaluation season unfolds and you read my description of a player possessing integrated skill sets, think back to this explanation. It may not mean that the player is ready to start in the NFL, but the description will indicate that his physical skills, his mental processing of his techniques, and his awareness the environment around him are integrated at a level that he’s more often ‘playing’ rather than ‘thinking.’ His processor speed is high and that’s the difference between talented NFL prospects and productive NFL players.

The 2013 Rookie Scouting Portfolio will be available for pre-order in March. The 2012 RSP is available for download and past issues (2006-2011) are available for $9.95. Ten percent of all sales are donated to Darkness to Light to help train communities to understand and prevent the dynamics of sexual abuse. 

Influenced by Excellence: Demaryius Thomas

Contributing writer Nathan Miller analyzes Demaryius Thomas' improvement in the Peyton Manning-led offense.  Photo by Jeffery Beall.
Contributing writer Nathan Miller analyzes Demaryius Thomas’ improvement in the Peyton Manning-led offense. Photo by Jeffery Beall.

By Nathan Miller

Twelve games into the 2012 season, the Denver Broncos appear to be a more legitimate contender than a year ago. By record, they are two wins improved.  By observation, it appears to be much more. They are division champions, and clicking on a Manning-led offense that is significantly different in style and substance.

It has come as no surprise that the offense under Manning has developed in record time. Wide receiver Demaryius Thomas has demonstrated noted improvement. The third-year Bronco told the media during the offseason that he needed to learn the rest of the route tree. With Manning at the helm, this was not a goal as much as it was a demand. Thomas has responded as such and his improvement has been tremendous. He is easily having the best year of his young career.

In terms of the popular, but overstated, third-year theory for receiver development, Thomas is chronologically behind the curve. His first two years of development time were spent in an environment of constant change, and he was battling back from a career-threatening injury. This analysis highlights the difference in Thomas’ route skills between last year and this year.

CROSSING ROUTES

Thomas spent the majority of the 2011 season running curl and fade routes. These routes suite Thomas well because of his athletic gifts and he is adept at gaining yards after the catch. Later in the year, he began to see more targets on crossing routes. Watching tape of these routes from 2011, what sticks out is Thomas’ lack of precision. It’s nothing glaring, but it’s details like these below that Manning takes seriously and learning them has made a big difference in this young receiver’s game.

1

On this play against Buffalo last year, Thomas runs an intermediate crossing route.

2

Thomas run 10 yards up field and needs to cut in (blue line) on this crosser.

3

Instead of making a sharp cut to the center of the field (blue line), Thomas veers into the route.

4

The “rounding” of the cut allows the cornerback to ease into better coverage, and it also gives an early cue to the safety over top.

5

Thomas makes the reception, but his route gives him little room to work.

6

The play was designed for a sharp cut to the inside at 10 yards. As seen in this view, the play design provides for an open area between the numbers if Thomas makes the cut instead of veering. This would have provided him an extra step on the defender and allowed the receiver on top to make a block, giving Thomas a chance to utilize his yards-after-catch ability.

7

With Peyton Manning under center this year, here is Thomas running a 15-yard crossing route against the Patriots.

8

He sells the deep route with a strong release up field.

9

He hits the 15-yard mark and cuts hard to the inside. On this crosser, Thomas doesn’t ease up and there is no veering of the route. A shallow route by another receiver draws two defenders down, leaving the middle of the field open.

10

Thomas’ cut is hard and precise. Look at the how his knees are bent and his hips are bent down. He is on his way to the center of the field by the time the cornerback reacts to the change of direction.

11

Thomas exploits the undefended middle of the field. Manning’s pass is slightly behind Thomas and this forces the receiver to lose his momentum. If this ball is placed in front of Thomas, he likely doubles his yardage with his speed and strength as a ball carrier after the catch.

COMEBACK ROUTES

Another area where Thomas needed improvement were routes where he breaks back to the quarterback.  He has often lacked follow-through to work back to the quarterback after the break on these routes that can expose the ball in a vulnerable position for the defender to intercept.

12

On this play against the Texans, Thomas runs an intermediate curl route. He hits his mark and turns for the pass. Unfortunately, he doesn’t make a move on the ball. Instead Thomas waits for the ball to come to him. Against a formidable Houston defense led by Jonathan Joseph, this play nearly results in a turnover. Joseph and the safety made a read on Thomas’ route and react quickly.

13

Thomas comes back about a yard as his quarterback delivers the ball, but the safety and cornerback each traverse over five yards of space.

14

Fortunately for Denver, the safety is unable to make the interception and the result for Denver is a welcome gift: an incomplete pass. Thomas needs to come back to the ball on this route and attack the pass, especially against an athletic secondary.

15

Just four games later against the Saints, Thomas makes an above-average effort to claim what is his. Thomas faces off-man coverage and begins the play with a hard release up field.

16

Once he gets 15 yards up field, he makes a swift cutback on the curl.

17

He works over four yards back to the ball, earning Thomas a safe cushion on the corner and he does a good job of going the distance to protect the pass from the defense. Coming back for the catch and attacking the ball like this is a simple but significant improvement that can be taught over a short period of time. Thomas does a good job learning this lesson.

PRESS COVERAGE

Athletic corners have had success containing Thomas with press coverage, executing a stiff jam at the line of scrimmage. While Thomas has shown an ability to overcome it because he’s a naturally strong and swift receiver with imposing size, defenders willing to go toe-to-toe with Thomas have won plays against the young receiver on more occasions than he should.

18

In this Week 8 match-up against New Orleans, the defender successfully disrupts the timing of the catch and prevents a touchdown. The play begins with the defender lining up tight on Thomas.

19

After the snap, the defender lunges forward to make contact. There is a significant bump, and residual friction after the hit. This happens because the defender is first to get his hands into the receiver’s body. Thomas does little on this play to limit the surface area of his torso.

20

Thomas is forced to use brute strength over technique, throwing the defender aside.

21

Although Thomas is a physical specimen and his strength is impressive, the defender has won this battle because the jam disrupts the timing between Manning and Thomas. This is a case where strength cannot be the answer. It takes too long. Thomas had to learn to use a resource other than force because on this play Manning overthrew Thomas by a few yards. This is an example why technique overrules athleticism once a player has proven he possess the baseline amount necessary to compete in the league.

22

Two games later, Thomas shows improvement. This time with a Panthers’ defender in press technique, Thomas uses a quick double move to get around his opponent.

23

Thomas begins his release with a hard stab to the outside.

24

The move to the outside causes the defender to shift his hips and gives Thomas room to come back to the inside and get around the defender. The corner is left in a position where he has to re-position his feet and accelerate to catch up.

25

With Thomas’ athletic ability, this foot race is over before it begins because Thomas’ inside position is all that he needs to gain separation.

The Saints defender’s successful jam two examples ago was more physical style of press than Thomas usually sees. The defender hits the receiver enough to knock Thomas off balance. This forces the receiver to run through the defender. Again, this is what slowed Thomas’ route and disrupted the timing, preventing a touchdown.

I mention this play again because a found a play from 2011 where Thomas executes a move against the Vikings corner who tries the same thing. After repeat viewings of the play, Thomas did a better job of reducing the available surface area of his body to prevent the aggressive jam from slowing him down as much, but he still has room for improvement.

26

Vikings cornerback Cedric Griffin will engage Thomas at the line with a swift jam. However, in this instance Thomas absorbs and redirects the hit.

27

Griffin makes the initial contact with Thomas.

28

Thomas pushes him to the outside while taking a bounce-back step and then then slides around the defender as soon as he re-establishes his footing. Thomas still needs to learn to avoid the jam or attack the defender first to establish immediate control. If Thomas were first to get his hands on the defender he could have discarded the corner while moving down field the entire time.

29

Thomas accelerates up field on a corner route.

30

Thomas makes the reception near the 40 yard line with ample space ahead for a 30-yard gain.

In his first two years, Thomas displayed moments of excellence when he was able to rely on his immense athleticism. Under Manning, he is improving his technical skills thanks to refining his craft as a route runner. The Manning effect is not to be understated. It is evident is his preparation, visible in his performance, and relevant in his stats.

Through 12 games, Thomas has eclipsed his prior two-year totals in receptions, yardage, and touchdowns. Project for the remaining games, and his stats should be impressive by any standard.

Thomas has improved his game in 2012 by developing his skills within the full route tree. Crossers, drags, digs, outs, comebacks, posts, hitches, streaks, and corners are all gaining precision. Thomas’ crossers are notably more precise, and he is also selling double moves on deeper routes, which is allowing him better positioning to make plays. On curls, he is coming back to the ball and spinning into position around defenders. Not only is his technique improving, but he is integrating the fundamentals into the instinctive and athletic components of his talents.

DOUBLE MOVES AND MANIPULATION

31

32

On third-and-10 from the 30 yard line against the Vikings last year, Thomas runs a corner route with the defender covering deep.

33

Thomas runs a straight down field and makes no attempt to adjust his route to mislead or realign the two covering defenders.

34

The result is an incomplete pass because the defender has no problem maintaining close coverage that makes a difference between a reception and a drop. If Thomas ran a route where he forced the cornerback to turn his hips away from the ball as the receiver released from the line, the receiver would have had a better chance to buy a step on the corner.

This year, Thomas demonstrates that refined ability. On a deep post route against the Patriots this year, Thomas executes an initial misdirection stem before breaking to the post. Although simple, it easily buys the receiver a step.

35

Coming off the line, Thomas heads at the defender and takes a slight outside angle to move the defender.

36

Reading an outside route, the defender turns his hips to the sideline.

37

As soon as the defender turns, Thomas breaks inside, cutting between the backsides of two defenders.

38

Thomas makes his way to the middle of the field in excellent position for a reception.

39

Thomas has the ball knocked loose, but the route was good enough to afford him a better opportunity to attack the ball while shielding the defender.

40

41

Thomas illustrates more improvement with his route technique against the Falcons. This is a veteran play in a clutch situation, a third-and-goal at the Falcons’ 17 yard line with 0:14 left in the half and the Broncos down 20-0. The corner is playing deep against Thomas with  safety help nearby.

42

Thomas runs hard during the first five yards of his release, changes course inside for a yard, and then straightens out. This moves the defensive backs to the inside because they read a post route.

43

Thomas then takes a hard stab to the inside near the goal line. The cornerback reacts and shifts to the inside.

44

Thomas then executes the second move and breaks to the outside.

45

The double move manipulates the positioning of the defender and Manning makes an excellent throw high and outside for Thomas to make a play.

46

One foot down, drags the second, and Thomas makes the play for a touchdown.

Thomas’ use of double moves is much more prevalent under Manning and the receiver is showing great improvement with executing new routes. He’s also incorporating timely fakes and breaks that allow him better opportunities for big plays.

With continued work and tutelage from Manning, the ceiling for Thomas’ success is great. He already has the athletic talent that is better than many of his peers. As long as he and Manning stay healthy, Thomas can be an elite player for years to come.

Nathan Miller can be contacted at nathan@revelationsports.com, on Twitter @Revel_Nathan, or visit www.revelationsports.com for more information and analysis.

Speculating in a Minefield: Race and Quarterbacking

Newton has the ideal personnel for play action passing, but as Lance Zierlein said weeks ago when we talked "On the Couch" with Sigmund Bloom, the zone read offense hinders use of it. it's one of the reasons I wonder if this approach might be hurting the long-term development of quarterbacks. Photo by PDA.Photo
Newton has the ideal personnel for play action passing, but as Lance Zierlein said weeks ago when we talked “On the Couch” with Sigmund Bloom, the zone read offense hinders use of it. it’s one of the reasons I wonder if this approach might be hurting the long-term development of quarterbacks. Photo by PDA.Photo

Recently, ESPN’s Matt Williamson and I were on Sigmund Bloom’s “On the Couch” podcast and Bloom broached the topic of Cam Newton. Williamson went first and talked about why he believes in Cam Newton’s talent. One of the things Williamson mentioned was that if Newton, and eventually Robert Griffin, are to develop into winning NFL quarterback they will need to transition into pure pocket passers that can sometimes run.

I couldn’t agree more. Until this conversation that ensued On the Couch I’ve been having an internal debate about publishing this post. Then when David Whitley wrote his column about Colin Kaepernick, the quarterback’s tattoos and the nature of some of the criticism from readers, I decided it would be a good idea to post this piece. 

Context

The white hoods and the Jim Crow era signs may be a relic in our country, but racism still exists. To be clear, I’m not talking about hate-speech, cross burning, and criminal violence.  It’s true that this in-your-face, brand of intolerance and rage still exists in the dark corners of every community of our country. That’s not what this is about.

Racism is not always about hate. But it is always rooted in ignorance – even when the intentions are noble. Without a well-spring of knowledge to nourish those good intentions, ignorance can take root.

A writer whom I admire recently finished a story that featured a mentoring experience between an executive and a young man. The businessman went above and beyond to assist this young man. He saw shades of his youth in his men-tee. The executive is white. The young man is black.

When the writer finished his draft of the story, he described the young man as a “smart, motivated, and hopeful young black man.”

I know this writer’s work and I’ve met him numerous times and there’s no question in my mind that his description of the young man was well-intentioned. It’s also a case where I believe this writer’s age and experiences influenced his decision to include the young man’s race in the sentence. I know that he wanted to underscore the point to his audience that this young black man is an example of many other black men in the world with the same positive characteristics.

This isn’t cross-burning, white-hooded, racism, but it is a subtler strain steeped in well-intentioned ignorance. Injecting race into a story when the context doesn’t call for it has an unintentional consequence. Describing a subject of a story as a “smart, motivated, and hopeful black man,” infers that there’s something about this combination of characteristics in a human being that is unusual rather than the norm.

If the subject of this story was the evolution of human rights in our country then it might make sense to point out an individual’s race in the context of the story. However, using it when the story has nothing to do with race infers that people of color don’t normally have the same capacity of intelligence, work ethic, and optimism as white people. I’ve been guilty of doing this in conversation before. I would have have been angered if someone accused me of racism for doing so.

That’s part of the delicate nature of the topic of race in our country. The word “racism” is loaded with a history of violent imagery. When a well-intentioned human being in our country is told he or she is ignorant about a matter of race, it’s a common reaction to react as if they were accused of being complicit in crimes against humanity. It’s what makes the topic of race in this country a confusing and emotionally-charged minefield.

It should be.

Slavery was physical, emotional, and spiritual abuse of the worst kind. What people don’t think about is that the actions damaged both the abuser and the abused. And like any radioactive material, the fallout takes much longer to leave our nation’s psyche than the system that was dismantled decades ago.

However, the next time you hear someone comment, ‘slavery is over,’ it would be wise to consider that the fiscal and personal toll from the system’s infrastructure is still rippling through our nation on several levels even if the actual enslavement is gone. It doesn’t mean that you should feel guilty for something that you didn’t do. However, it will help our country come together on this issue if we all learn how to avoid perpetuating ideas – subtle or otherwise – that haven’t changed enough.

There are still bastions of football writing that continue to perpetuate these well-intentioned, but ignorant ideas.

The truth is that there are individuals of every race and gender that have special physical, mental, and emotional characteristics in abundance. Genetics may play a role in exceptional achievements – both positive and negative – but that’s also not exclusive of race. The way that our society reacts to skin color often has external influences on individuals and how they use these qualities.

This well-intentioned mindset can have the unintended consequence of harming those they wish to help. It sends the message that, even when the starting points and resources are relatively equal, that people of color need the help of white people to achieve the same things. This mindset can be just as limiting long-term as the more virulent strains of examples of racism because it subtly ingrains stereotypes.

It still happens in football writing.

I don’t see David Whitley’s piece about Colin Kaepernick as racist. The Sporting News writer’s column is about image and leadership, specifically tattoos and what they state about the image and perception of leadership. As I mentioned yesterday, I disagree with Whitley’s perspective. Quarterbacks should not be regarded as CEOs. It’s an inaccurate analogy. Quarterbacks don’t hire and fire. They don’t make financial decisions for the team. They aren’t the first, second, or even third voice that is important for an NFL organization. If Whitley was going to make a more accurate, but still misguided, business analogy he should have considered the position of quarterback as a middle manager.

In my view, all quarterbacks are military leaders-tribal warriors more than they are businessmen. See below. Photo of Colin Kaepernick by Jason Ku Photography.
CEO or tribal-military warrior? Photo of Colin Kaepernick by Jason Ku Photography.

Taking a quick tangent, the reason I think Whitley is off base with his quarterback-as-CEO argument is that a football field is not a corporate office or boardroom; it’s more like a battleground. Football teams are more like tribes or military units. Because of the physical commitment involved with playing the game that can lead to permanent, long-term disability, or even loss of life, quarterbacks are more like warrior-leaders.

I don’t know about you, but I want a man willing to permanently mark his skin with ink to swear allegiance to his beliefs. That’s the kind of person who is willing to sacrifice his body for what he believes in. There’s no lasting sacrifice demonstrated with a haircut and an Armani suit.

But back to Whitley’s mistake that invited speculation of racism. I believe it occurred when he wrote: It’s not just a white thing, I hope.

He didn’t need to inject race into the equation. It was his decision, and that of his editor to leave it there, which made race an issue in a piece that’s only true position is to rail against tattoos for quarterbacks.

Whitley’s context of race was well-meaning, but inappropriate. When looking at the context of how the NFL openly questioned the intellectual capabilities of black athletes, it made sense to discuss Doug Williams’ blackness when he helped the Redskins win the Super Bowl. It was a historical moment.

Yet, to say that Robert Griffin is an intelligent, articulate, hard-working, black man in a story about him is unnecessary if the context isn’t about the role of race and athletics in American society. Ask yourself this question: when would it be necessary to describe Andrew Luck as a passionate, athletic, and tough as nails, white man in a sports story? Moreover, is Andrew Luck ever described as a “white man” in the average sports story?

The use of “black” as a descriptor is something I hear friends and colleagues use in situations that aren’t necessary. If I were at a future Redskins-Colts football game with my daughter and Luck and Griffin were both in grey sweats having a conversation at the 50 yard-line, I’ll point and say, “The black dude,” if she asks me,  “Which quarterback is Griffin?” If I’m describing the skill of a player, or the personality of an individual’s “blackness” or “whiteness,” then color rarely needs to be a part of the equation.

If it does, ask yourself why its so important that you include race in the context of what you’re telling. Does it need to be for you, or your audience?

The unintentional dark comedy of this entire uproar from writers and bloggers who I’ve seen brand this piece as racist is that the most vocal ones I saw online where white men. It’s usually white men who are quick to correct my wife that she is not black, but ‘African-American.’ Well-intended, but incredibly ignorant.  Most black people in this country have an ancestry of people that hailed from a variety of nations and races. While some people will say that the term was coined by black people (I’ve seen some cite Jesse Jackson) it was white people in America who began using this term as early as the 1850s.

It never occurred to these white male writers that the writer is the father to two black girls, or that the editor is black. It’s not to say that black people are incapable of being racist (If you were one of those white people railing against Whitley don’t be offended that I’m poking fun at you – some of you meant well), but it is sad and funny to me that two writers who should understand the nuance of the issue of race in this country failed to successfully navigate the racial minefield. Of course some may even say they willfully tripped the wires to get attention.

This public service announcement about the state of race in the United States is a necessary prelude to the range of thoughts I am sharing below about Cam Newton, Robert Griffin, and any other quarterback with the incredible physical gifts to thread the needle with his arms and gain huge chunks of yards with his legs. I want my future analysis to be an honest examination of the idea that certain black quarterbacks could see their long-term development stunted because of coaches willing to take a slower transition with a college-based offense or an offense where running is highly encouraged.

Kordell Stewart, Michael Vick, Vince Young, Cam Newton, and Robert Griffin may have looked like superstars in these offenses early in their careers, but in the case of Stewart, Vick, and Young, they didn’t make the transition into pocket passers the way that Donovan McNabb and Steve McNair did and they may ultimately struggled. I fear Newton and Griffin could find themselves along the same road where the team had great intentions, but they didn’t force their quarterbacks to take the harder, but more fulfilling development path.

However, I see evidence where ignorance may take root in terms of the responses I’ll receive. It’s why I think it is important to map the minefield before I take you through it. I want to say upfront that I have no definitive answers. I don’t know if I’m right. My concerns might be unwarranted, but I do see a link between these progressive ideas in football and how they could mimic the progressive or liberal ideas that some in our country have with race. Both have good intentions, but sometimes do more harm than good.  I want to be able to say them while providing enough context that hopefully most people will understand that this is a delicate and nuanced issue and I’m sharing my thoughts, but not making hard conclusions.

Navigating the Minefield

What I fear is that the Redskins and Panthers’ offenses systems, which have been retrofitted to ease the short-term transition of Robert Griffin and Cam Newton, may actually do a disservice to the long-term development of these fantastic quarterback talents. I believe the validity of my concerns will ultimately hinge on how effective these spread offensive concepts taken from the college game will chip away at the validity of the old truism “a successful NFL quarterback must win from the pocket.”

Why race becomes part of the issue is tricky.

The Panthers and Redskins seem more willing to use college option concepts with Newton and Griffin than the 49ers and Broncos were with Alex Smith and Tim Tebow. Both Smith and Tebow were spread option stars at the college level. The 49ers set about grooming Smith to become a pocket passer. Tebow was merely an option of desperation that John Elway tossed aside as soon as the Broncos season ended. If he couldn’t land Peyton Manning, the consummate pocket quarterback, I have no doubts that Elway would have moved heaven and earth to acquire one in the draft with more refined skill than rookie Brock Osweiler.

Alex Smith was a successful college runner-passer in a spread system. Why did the 49ers opt to force him into developing pocket passer? I have no clear answer, but it is food for thought. Photo by  Jason Ku Photography.
Alex Smith was a successful college runner-passer in a spread system. Why did the 49ers opt to force him into developing pocket passer? I hope I’m wrong, but it is food for thought that race was a subconscious factor into the decision-making equation with Newton and Griffin. Photo by Jason Ku Photography.

Tebow’s lack of developed arm talent is an easy reason to explain why no team is willing to invest in him as a starter in an option-based system like Newton and Griffin. Smith is a different story. Gil Brandt reported from Smith’s pre-draft workout that he hadn’t seen as impressive of a performance since Troy Aikman. Remember that Smith was also a dangerous runner at Utah.

It doesn’t take a scout to see the difference between Smith’s size and speed in comparison to Newton and Griffin. However, the 49ers have picked its spots to use Smith’s prowess as a runner. At 6’4″ and an athletic, 217 pounds, Smith was as successful running a spread option as a ball carrier as Newton and Griffin. I doubt he has the athleticism to gain the yardage in chunks that Newton and Griffin have, but I don’t think the overall effectiveness within the scope of a pro offense fitted for Smith to run would have yielded dramatically different results. Here is each player’s rushing stats during their final college season.

Player Att Yds TD
Smith 135 631 10
Griffin 161 699 10
Newton 264 1473 20

From the standpoint of yards per carry and touchdowns per attempt, there’s not a significant difference. This could just have to do with individual preference and willingness of coaches, but I do wonder that, when it comes to teams opting to employ an offense with the quarterback as part-runner and part-passer, if race was a subconscious factor to take that risk.

My fear is that teams are opting to exploit Griffin’s and Newton’s athletic talents now at the cost of their vast potential to develop into true pocket passers later. It’s not an intentional exploitation based on race, but if a player like Newton begins to falter, then the commentary then leads to similar type of grilling that Vince Young or Kordell Stewart earned. The fact that some fans drew parallels between Newton and Vince Young was unfair to Newton and I think some of it had to do with race.

The motivation of these teams  is to maximize Newton and Griffin’s talents to win now. That is admirable and in some ways progressive thinking. But unless the teams find the right combination of quarterback and offense, these players’ lack of pocket development and reading the entire field could set them back in terms of traditional skills.

This view could find its way to the historic dustbin faster than Griffin can cover 30 yards in the open field. The reason is that they may change NFL quarterbacking with their athleticism. But until they do so over a period of years, I won’t believe it.

It has been a truism for decades that in the NFL the quarterback must be able to win from the pocket. Steve Young, Randall Cunningham, Donovan McNabb, Steve McNair, and to some extent Ben Roethlisberger, all had to learn to play better from the pocket to elevate their game.

Now coaches are injecting spread principles into the NFL game, including the zone-read options. This may accelerate statistical production and big-play development, but we haven’t seen lasting proof that the offenses are leading to victories or long-term development of the quarterbacks at the wheel. I want to see Robert Griffin and Cam Newton win and win big. I want them to develop into great quarterbacks.

Perhaps they will never need to lean solely on these pocket skills and they will indeed change the NFL game. If so, that’s terrific. However, I’m skeptical because I believe the hits will take a toll with age. If they are part running back, think about the life expectancy of a runner’s career versus a quarterback’s and you have to begin subtracting years.

Of course there’s no guarantee either Newton or Griffin will develop into a great pocket passer any more than Alex Smith, Sam Bradford, or anything other big-time white quarterback entering the league. Call me old-school, but I’d like to see these teams try. Let Newton and Griffin take their lumps from defenses, coaches, fans, and media as they work on the tried-and-true skills of quarterbacking. I think it’s better to do so earlier where hitting a wall is expected than to give them early success and become the equivalent of many child stars in Hollywood.

If they can do so in this style of offense long-term then great, but I don’t see it working in Carolina. This could have more to do with Carolina specifically, but I want to entertain the idea that it may not. I think how Griffin, Newton, Kapernick, and their teams fare could make my point worth examining.

Right now it’s just speculation in a minefield.

Waldman vs. Waldman: A Spousal Throwdown

My wife’s favorite type of tackle: the clothesline. Photo by Erik Daniel Drost.

My wife and I have watched football together once. It was the last Alabama-Georgia match up. It was when I discovered the depths of her insanity. Our viewing taught me what my wife knows, likes, and dislikes about football:

  • Her dad is a Cowboys fan, but “they’re kind of sucking” right now.
  • The Ravens are his hometown team. They are also the team that will induce me into a 30-minute rant about how they embody the psyche of the real Cleveland Browns, which makes her want to remove her fingernails with a pair of pliers every time I get started. As an alternative to self-mutilation she suggests (in a far more primitive way) that I see a therapist.
  • The Browns are the worst name for a football team and the uniforms are “fugly.”
  • Speaking of defense, a tackle made with a trip or a wrap is not proper hitting form. A lowered shoulder with a wrap and pile-driving force to the turf is “a start.” A spear elicits a “that’s what I’m talkin’ ’bout.” A clothesline earns a “now that’s how you do it!!!” I think I married Dick ‘Night Train’ Lane.
  • Her favorite football players are the “big, corn-fed guys that hit people.” I have to admit, she’s already won over the most diehard football analysts I know. Chris Brown is somewhere nodding with silent approval.
  • Kickers are useless and most of them look “girlie” when they do their job. You need to know that my wife has two distinct personalities (among many others). On the job and in public she’s girlie. From what she wears to how she talks, you’d think that dirt hurts. But dirt don’t hurt; especially when my wife has a cigarette dangling from her lips as she’s is digging a trench the width of our backyard after spending the morning putting a pick axe to Georgia Clay. My wife is one-part debutante and one-part semi-pro safety who just got off a chain gang and works construction during the week.
  • Brett Favre should have retired years before he did.
  • With an 11.2-second, 100-yard dash to her credit during the 1980s that is on par with (pre-doping) Marion Jones – still her high school’s record – speed doesn’t impress her.
  • Think I’m exaggerating? I just emailed her to name 10 things she likes, dislikes, and knows about football. She doesn’t even know why I asked, but immediately sent me a list of 11. I deleted the last one because that subject is for another time and place. (Although I agree with you in principle, Honey):
    • I like the hits (the real ones, not the girlie ones)
    • I like the names
    • I like the colors
    • I like that it can bring a city together
    • I know that that Terry guy is famous in corporate America
    • I know that the Browns, the Colts, and the Ravens have some sort of sordid history that makes your eye twitch
    • I don’t like the Browns—stupid name, ugly color when paired incorrectly—as they have done
    • I don’t like the Bangles…who the hell named them after women’s jewelry?
    • I don’t like all the rules that make them have to play like girls.  For all the money they make, I expect to see blood, bone or both when it’s over.  I had more pain during childbirth than most of them have during an entire game.  You’re MEN….earn your f#&king keep.
    • I don’t like kickers or kicking—all that pay for a dancer to come on the field for 5 seconds and get what?  An extra 1-3 points.  Stupid.  If footballers played like MEN, they wouldn’t need the kickers delicate asses.
  • She’d love Marshawn Lynch if she ever saw him play. Especially because his mom gives him skittles, but she wouldn’t dig the name.

I rest my case.

Since that premarital Alabama-Georgia game, we haven’t watched football together. She believes that her blood-lust scared me off. Truth be told, her viewing pleasures are far more vicious: gangster movies and Dance Mom marathons. Football can’t compete. She’d also weigh me down by asking me to rewind and slow-mo all the personal fouls while I’m trying to study blocking schemes or routes. I have deadlines.

You can imagine how surprised I was when I received a challenge to play Fantasy Throwdown from my wife. Although she doesn’t know anything more about football than what I mentioned above, she didn’t want me to help her. Here’s our draft:

You can click the image to enlarge. Here’s a quick blow-by-blow of our draft:

  • My wife opted for the first overall pick so I selected the Browns-Raiders and Cowboys-Eagles games.
  • My wife then showed fascinating intuition and picked what will likely be the most violent game of the week: Steelers-Ravens.
  • With the first pick, my wife thought about taking Ray Rice but the name reminded her of Rae Carruth and as a native of North Carolina, she can’t make that call.
  • Since she didn’t recognize any of the names I’ve mentioned, although intuitively Ray Rice caught her attention first, she decided to block the Raiders defense.
    At this point, you might think the draft went downhill. However with Throwdown, the block can be utterly useless even with a well-conceived plan. It’s the wildcard. And with Cleveland, you never now, it might prove ingenious.
  • So I took Rice and Trent Richardson. The wife then opted for names she liked. Joe Flacco was one of them because it sounded like “Shane Falco.”  Flacco kind of is the Keanu Reeves of NFL quarterbacks. Good times.
  • Marcel Reece and Felix Jones were also names she liked. She didn’t like “Dwyer,” and couldn’t get with “Anquan Boldin.” I told her she’d like Boldin because he plays with the kind of mentality she likes. She shrugged me off.
  • I blocked Bryce Brown. She asked me if that was the dude that I was yelling at on Monday night and cheering like a real fan (usually she just hears the clicking of my keyboard when a football game is on in my office). I told her yes. She told me (in a roundabout way) to see a therapist. I followed up with Tony Romo.
  • The wife then chose Mike Wallace and Riley Cooper. The Eagles receiver I could have known about ahead of time because it’s the type of name she’d want to name any future children we have. She’s all about those Madison, Delaney, Riley, and other girlie, Holly-Hobby names. Ain’t happening. However, her choices continued to surprise me.
  • I opted for the Steelers and Jason Witten and when she realized that ‘K’ stood for kicker she groaned and ultimately took Sebastien Janikowski because that was the only name that sounded like he could really kick. Again, great intuition. She then opted for Brent Celek for Heath Miller because “Heath (Ledger) is dead.”
  • I ended with Dan Bailey.

Ten minutes of personal hilarity. I’ll never live it down if I lose.

Need a laugh? Or, better yet, haven’t cried in awhile? Challenge your wife to Fantasy Throwdown today. It’s quick, convenient, and addictive. It’s also free.

Also read Zach Law’s interview of Mike MacGregor, who is a big reason why I’m doing what I do here.