Posts tagged RSP

Reads Listens Views 12/7/2012

Listens

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My bud Adrian is traveling through Asia. He met a Dane in Thailand, who hipped him to this Norwegian soul singer-instrumentalist. If you want proof that the world is round just let this pass through your brain one more time: A Texan in Thailand having a guy from Denmark recommend a Norwegian musician who sings soul.

And he’s good. Here’s another.

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Thank You

If you’re a new follower of this blog or my Twitter account, thank you for doing so. This blog provides analysis year-round as I research, write, and edit my annual publication the Rookie Scouting Portfolio. Now it its eighth year, the RSP is available for download every April 1st. Beginning last year, I allowed readers to prepay/order the RSP beginning in March for the April download due to reader demand to make it so. I will do the same again this year – stay tuned.

Most of all, I want to thank those of you who purchased the 2012 RSP and/or previous RSPs, which are available year-round.  Thanks to you, I have donated over $1800 to Darkness to Light to fulfill my pledge to readers. D2L is a non-profit with the mission of preventing sexual abuse through community training and awareness. As someone who understands the lasting damage that can happen from this type of abuse, raising awareness may not always prevent this predatory behavior, but the ability to help parents and communities understand how to deal with abuse can limit the scope of the damage that often occurs when a victim’s cries for help are met with denial or blame.

If you haven’t purchased the RSP in the past but you enjoy the content on this blog, I encourage you to take the plunge. Past issues of the RSP (2006-2011) are available for $9.95 at the link above. The 2012 RSP is $19.95 and I donate 10 percent of each sale to this cause. Get something that my buddies at DLFootball.com say is worth every penny while supporting a great cause in a fight to prevent sexual abuse.

Fantasy Throwdown

To give full disclosure, yes, I beat my wife in a Throwdown. She challenged me to a game of Fantasy Throwdown last week. Click on the photo for a close up of the score.

AvM ThrowdownBut this wasn’t the best family game of the week. My daughter, Chandler, read my blog post and challenged her sports-loving boyfriend.  Didn’t turn out so well for the boyfriend.

MvA copy Chandler ThrowdownAlthough the Cowboys game wasn’t scored when she took this screen shot, she won a nail-biter. Not bad for someone who has only watched football a little bit in her life. Perhaps there’s some sort of osmosis in play here, right? Wishful thinking I suppose. Anyhow, try FantasyThrowdown. It’s free, simple to play, and addictive.

Football Reads

Non-Football Reads

  • Global Warming’s Terrifying New Math – If you read one thing today – no, if you read one thing this year – read this article by Bill McKibben. Yes, there’s still hope.
  • The Cliff Notes to McKibben’s Must-Read – Yes, I know something about you guys, thanks to the power of analytics. Read it.
  • Capitalism vs. Climate – Naomi Klein’s article from The Nation. Her main takeaway? “The fact that the earth’s atmosphere cannot safely absorb the amount of carbon we are pumping into it is a symptom of a much larger crisis, one born of the central fiction on which our economic model is based: that nature is limitless, that we will always be able to find more of what we need, and that if something runs out it can be seamlessly replaced by another resource that we can endlessly extract.”

Views

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Perhaps another reason not to believe everything you see on TV? Fantastic stuff.

Influenced by Excellence: Demaryius Thomas

Contributing writer Nathan Miller analyzes Demaryius Thomas' improvement in the Peyton Manning-led offense.  Photo by Jeffery Beall.
Contributing writer Nathan Miller analyzes Demaryius Thomas’ improvement in the Peyton Manning-led offense. Photo by Jeffery Beall.

By Nathan Miller

Twelve games into the 2012 season, the Denver Broncos appear to be a more legitimate contender than a year ago. By record, they are two wins improved.  By observation, it appears to be much more. They are division champions, and clicking on a Manning-led offense that is significantly different in style and substance.

It has come as no surprise that the offense under Manning has developed in record time. Wide receiver Demaryius Thomas has demonstrated noted improvement. The third-year Bronco told the media during the offseason that he needed to learn the rest of the route tree. With Manning at the helm, this was not a goal as much as it was a demand. Thomas has responded as such and his improvement has been tremendous. He is easily having the best year of his young career.

In terms of the popular, but overstated, third-year theory for receiver development, Thomas is chronologically behind the curve. His first two years of development time were spent in an environment of constant change, and he was battling back from a career-threatening injury. This analysis highlights the difference in Thomas’ route skills between last year and this year.

CROSSING ROUTES

Thomas spent the majority of the 2011 season running curl and fade routes. These routes suite Thomas well because of his athletic gifts and he is adept at gaining yards after the catch. Later in the year, he began to see more targets on crossing routes. Watching tape of these routes from 2011, what sticks out is Thomas’ lack of precision. It’s nothing glaring, but it’s details like these below that Manning takes seriously and learning them has made a big difference in this young receiver’s game.

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On this play against Buffalo last year, Thomas runs an intermediate crossing route.

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Thomas run 10 yards up field and needs to cut in (blue line) on this crosser.

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Instead of making a sharp cut to the center of the field (blue line), Thomas veers into the route.

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The “rounding” of the cut allows the cornerback to ease into better coverage, and it also gives an early cue to the safety over top.

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Thomas makes the reception, but his route gives him little room to work.

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The play was designed for a sharp cut to the inside at 10 yards. As seen in this view, the play design provides for an open area between the numbers if Thomas makes the cut instead of veering. This would have provided him an extra step on the defender and allowed the receiver on top to make a block, giving Thomas a chance to utilize his yards-after-catch ability.

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With Peyton Manning under center this year, here is Thomas running a 15-yard crossing route against the Patriots.

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He sells the deep route with a strong release up field.

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He hits the 15-yard mark and cuts hard to the inside. On this crosser, Thomas doesn’t ease up and there is no veering of the route. A shallow route by another receiver draws two defenders down, leaving the middle of the field open.

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Thomas’ cut is hard and precise. Look at the how his knees are bent and his hips are bent down. He is on his way to the center of the field by the time the cornerback reacts to the change of direction.

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Thomas exploits the undefended middle of the field. Manning’s pass is slightly behind Thomas and this forces the receiver to lose his momentum. If this ball is placed in front of Thomas, he likely doubles his yardage with his speed and strength as a ball carrier after the catch.

COMEBACK ROUTES

Another area where Thomas needed improvement were routes where he breaks back to the quarterback.  He has often lacked follow-through to work back to the quarterback after the break on these routes that can expose the ball in a vulnerable position for the defender to intercept.

12

On this play against the Texans, Thomas runs an intermediate curl route. He hits his mark and turns for the pass. Unfortunately, he doesn’t make a move on the ball. Instead Thomas waits for the ball to come to him. Against a formidable Houston defense led by Jonathan Joseph, this play nearly results in a turnover. Joseph and the safety made a read on Thomas’ route and react quickly.

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Thomas comes back about a yard as his quarterback delivers the ball, but the safety and cornerback each traverse over five yards of space.

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Fortunately for Denver, the safety is unable to make the interception and the result for Denver is a welcome gift: an incomplete pass. Thomas needs to come back to the ball on this route and attack the pass, especially against an athletic secondary.

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Just four games later against the Saints, Thomas makes an above-average effort to claim what is his. Thomas faces off-man coverage and begins the play with a hard release up field.

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Once he gets 15 yards up field, he makes a swift cutback on the curl.

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He works over four yards back to the ball, earning Thomas a safe cushion on the corner and he does a good job of going the distance to protect the pass from the defense. Coming back for the catch and attacking the ball like this is a simple but significant improvement that can be taught over a short period of time. Thomas does a good job learning this lesson.

PRESS COVERAGE

Athletic corners have had success containing Thomas with press coverage, executing a stiff jam at the line of scrimmage. While Thomas has shown an ability to overcome it because he’s a naturally strong and swift receiver with imposing size, defenders willing to go toe-to-toe with Thomas have won plays against the young receiver on more occasions than he should.

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In this Week 8 match-up against New Orleans, the defender successfully disrupts the timing of the catch and prevents a touchdown. The play begins with the defender lining up tight on Thomas.

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After the snap, the defender lunges forward to make contact. There is a significant bump, and residual friction after the hit. This happens because the defender is first to get his hands into the receiver’s body. Thomas does little on this play to limit the surface area of his torso.

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Thomas is forced to use brute strength over technique, throwing the defender aside.

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Although Thomas is a physical specimen and his strength is impressive, the defender has won this battle because the jam disrupts the timing between Manning and Thomas. This is a case where strength cannot be the answer. It takes too long. Thomas had to learn to use a resource other than force because on this play Manning overthrew Thomas by a few yards. This is an example why technique overrules athleticism once a player has proven he possess the baseline amount necessary to compete in the league.

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Two games later, Thomas shows improvement. This time with a Panthers’ defender in press technique, Thomas uses a quick double move to get around his opponent.

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Thomas begins his release with a hard stab to the outside.

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The move to the outside causes the defender to shift his hips and gives Thomas room to come back to the inside and get around the defender. The corner is left in a position where he has to re-position his feet and accelerate to catch up.

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With Thomas’ athletic ability, this foot race is over before it begins because Thomas’ inside position is all that he needs to gain separation.

The Saints defender’s successful jam two examples ago was more physical style of press than Thomas usually sees. The defender hits the receiver enough to knock Thomas off balance. This forces the receiver to run through the defender. Again, this is what slowed Thomas’ route and disrupted the timing, preventing a touchdown.

I mention this play again because a found a play from 2011 where Thomas executes a move against the Vikings corner who tries the same thing. After repeat viewings of the play, Thomas did a better job of reducing the available surface area of his body to prevent the aggressive jam from slowing him down as much, but he still has room for improvement.

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Vikings cornerback Cedric Griffin will engage Thomas at the line with a swift jam. However, in this instance Thomas absorbs and redirects the hit.

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Griffin makes the initial contact with Thomas.

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Thomas pushes him to the outside while taking a bounce-back step and then then slides around the defender as soon as he re-establishes his footing. Thomas still needs to learn to avoid the jam or attack the defender first to establish immediate control. If Thomas were first to get his hands on the defender he could have discarded the corner while moving down field the entire time.

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Thomas accelerates up field on a corner route.

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Thomas makes the reception near the 40 yard line with ample space ahead for a 30-yard gain.

In his first two years, Thomas displayed moments of excellence when he was able to rely on his immense athleticism. Under Manning, he is improving his technical skills thanks to refining his craft as a route runner. The Manning effect is not to be understated. It is evident is his preparation, visible in his performance, and relevant in his stats.

Through 12 games, Thomas has eclipsed his prior two-year totals in receptions, yardage, and touchdowns. Project for the remaining games, and his stats should be impressive by any standard.

Thomas has improved his game in 2012 by developing his skills within the full route tree. Crossers, drags, digs, outs, comebacks, posts, hitches, streaks, and corners are all gaining precision. Thomas’ crossers are notably more precise, and he is also selling double moves on deeper routes, which is allowing him better positioning to make plays. On curls, he is coming back to the ball and spinning into position around defenders. Not only is his technique improving, but he is integrating the fundamentals into the instinctive and athletic components of his talents.

DOUBLE MOVES AND MANIPULATION

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On third-and-10 from the 30 yard line against the Vikings last year, Thomas runs a corner route with the defender covering deep.

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Thomas runs a straight down field and makes no attempt to adjust his route to mislead or realign the two covering defenders.

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The result is an incomplete pass because the defender has no problem maintaining close coverage that makes a difference between a reception and a drop. If Thomas ran a route where he forced the cornerback to turn his hips away from the ball as the receiver released from the line, the receiver would have had a better chance to buy a step on the corner.

This year, Thomas demonstrates that refined ability. On a deep post route against the Patriots this year, Thomas executes an initial misdirection stem before breaking to the post. Although simple, it easily buys the receiver a step.

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Coming off the line, Thomas heads at the defender and takes a slight outside angle to move the defender.

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Reading an outside route, the defender turns his hips to the sideline.

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As soon as the defender turns, Thomas breaks inside, cutting between the backsides of two defenders.

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Thomas makes his way to the middle of the field in excellent position for a reception.

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Thomas has the ball knocked loose, but the route was good enough to afford him a better opportunity to attack the ball while shielding the defender.

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Thomas illustrates more improvement with his route technique against the Falcons. This is a veteran play in a clutch situation, a third-and-goal at the Falcons’ 17 yard line with 0:14 left in the half and the Broncos down 20-0. The corner is playing deep against Thomas with  safety help nearby.

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Thomas runs hard during the first five yards of his release, changes course inside for a yard, and then straightens out. This moves the defensive backs to the inside because they read a post route.

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Thomas then takes a hard stab to the inside near the goal line. The cornerback reacts and shifts to the inside.

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Thomas then executes the second move and breaks to the outside.

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The double move manipulates the positioning of the defender and Manning makes an excellent throw high and outside for Thomas to make a play.

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One foot down, drags the second, and Thomas makes the play for a touchdown.

Thomas’ use of double moves is much more prevalent under Manning and the receiver is showing great improvement with executing new routes. He’s also incorporating timely fakes and breaks that allow him better opportunities for big plays.

With continued work and tutelage from Manning, the ceiling for Thomas’ success is great. He already has the athletic talent that is better than many of his peers. As long as he and Manning stay healthy, Thomas can be an elite player for years to come.

Nathan Miller can be contacted at nathan@revelationsports.com, on Twitter @Revel_Nathan, or visit www.revelationsports.com for more information and analysis.

Speculating in a Minefield: Race and Quarterbacking

Newton has the ideal personnel for play action passing, but as Lance Zierlein said weeks ago when we talked "On the Couch" with Sigmund Bloom, the zone read offense hinders use of it. it's one of the reasons I wonder if this approach might be hurting the long-term development of quarterbacks. Photo by PDA.Photo
Newton has the ideal personnel for play action passing, but as Lance Zierlein said weeks ago when we talked “On the Couch” with Sigmund Bloom, the zone read offense hinders use of it. it’s one of the reasons I wonder if this approach might be hurting the long-term development of quarterbacks. Photo by PDA.Photo

Recently, ESPN’s Matt Williamson and I were on Sigmund Bloom’s “On the Couch” podcast and Bloom broached the topic of Cam Newton. Williamson went first and talked about why he believes in Cam Newton’s talent. One of the things Williamson mentioned was that if Newton, and eventually Robert Griffin, are to develop into winning NFL quarterback they will need to transition into pure pocket passers that can sometimes run.

I couldn’t agree more. Until this conversation that ensued On the Couch I’ve been having an internal debate about publishing this post. Then when David Whitley wrote his column about Colin Kaepernick, the quarterback’s tattoos and the nature of some of the criticism from readers, I decided it would be a good idea to post this piece. 

Context

The white hoods and the Jim Crow era signs may be a relic in our country, but racism still exists. To be clear, I’m not talking about hate-speech, cross burning, and criminal violence.  It’s true that this in-your-face, brand of intolerance and rage still exists in the dark corners of every community of our country. That’s not what this is about.

Racism is not always about hate. But it is always rooted in ignorance – even when the intentions are noble. Without a well-spring of knowledge to nourish those good intentions, ignorance can take root.

A writer whom I admire recently finished a story that featured a mentoring experience between an executive and a young man. The businessman went above and beyond to assist this young man. He saw shades of his youth in his men-tee. The executive is white. The young man is black.

When the writer finished his draft of the story, he described the young man as a “smart, motivated, and hopeful young black man.”

I know this writer’s work and I’ve met him numerous times and there’s no question in my mind that his description of the young man was well-intentioned. It’s also a case where I believe this writer’s age and experiences influenced his decision to include the young man’s race in the sentence. I know that he wanted to underscore the point to his audience that this young black man is an example of many other black men in the world with the same positive characteristics.

This isn’t cross-burning, white-hooded, racism, but it is a subtler strain steeped in well-intentioned ignorance. Injecting race into a story when the context doesn’t call for it has an unintentional consequence. Describing a subject of a story as a “smart, motivated, and hopeful black man,” infers that there’s something about this combination of characteristics in a human being that is unusual rather than the norm.

If the subject of this story was the evolution of human rights in our country then it might make sense to point out an individual’s race in the context of the story. However, using it when the story has nothing to do with race infers that people of color don’t normally have the same capacity of intelligence, work ethic, and optimism as white people. I’ve been guilty of doing this in conversation before. I would have have been angered if someone accused me of racism for doing so.

That’s part of the delicate nature of the topic of race in our country. The word “racism” is loaded with a history of violent imagery. When a well-intentioned human being in our country is told he or she is ignorant about a matter of race, it’s a common reaction to react as if they were accused of being complicit in crimes against humanity. It’s what makes the topic of race in this country a confusing and emotionally-charged minefield.

It should be.

Slavery was physical, emotional, and spiritual abuse of the worst kind. What people don’t think about is that the actions damaged both the abuser and the abused. And like any radioactive material, the fallout takes much longer to leave our nation’s psyche than the system that was dismantled decades ago.

However, the next time you hear someone comment, ‘slavery is over,’ it would be wise to consider that the fiscal and personal toll from the system’s infrastructure is still rippling through our nation on several levels even if the actual enslavement is gone. It doesn’t mean that you should feel guilty for something that you didn’t do. However, it will help our country come together on this issue if we all learn how to avoid perpetuating ideas – subtle or otherwise – that haven’t changed enough.

There are still bastions of football writing that continue to perpetuate these well-intentioned, but ignorant ideas.

The truth is that there are individuals of every race and gender that have special physical, mental, and emotional characteristics in abundance. Genetics may play a role in exceptional achievements – both positive and negative – but that’s also not exclusive of race. The way that our society reacts to skin color often has external influences on individuals and how they use these qualities.

This well-intentioned mindset can have the unintended consequence of harming those they wish to help. It sends the message that, even when the starting points and resources are relatively equal, that people of color need the help of white people to achieve the same things. This mindset can be just as limiting long-term as the more virulent strains of examples of racism because it subtly ingrains stereotypes.

It still happens in football writing.

I don’t see David Whitley’s piece about Colin Kaepernick as racist. The Sporting News writer’s column is about image and leadership, specifically tattoos and what they state about the image and perception of leadership. As I mentioned yesterday, I disagree with Whitley’s perspective. Quarterbacks should not be regarded as CEOs. It’s an inaccurate analogy. Quarterbacks don’t hire and fire. They don’t make financial decisions for the team. They aren’t the first, second, or even third voice that is important for an NFL organization. If Whitley was going to make a more accurate, but still misguided, business analogy he should have considered the position of quarterback as a middle manager.

In my view, all quarterbacks are military leaders-tribal warriors more than they are businessmen. See below. Photo of Colin Kaepernick by Jason Ku Photography.
CEO or tribal-military warrior? Photo of Colin Kaepernick by Jason Ku Photography.

Taking a quick tangent, the reason I think Whitley is off base with his quarterback-as-CEO argument is that a football field is not a corporate office or boardroom; it’s more like a battleground. Football teams are more like tribes or military units. Because of the physical commitment involved with playing the game that can lead to permanent, long-term disability, or even loss of life, quarterbacks are more like warrior-leaders.

I don’t know about you, but I want a man willing to permanently mark his skin with ink to swear allegiance to his beliefs. That’s the kind of person who is willing to sacrifice his body for what he believes in. There’s no lasting sacrifice demonstrated with a haircut and an Armani suit.

But back to Whitley’s mistake that invited speculation of racism. I believe it occurred when he wrote: It’s not just a white thing, I hope.

He didn’t need to inject race into the equation. It was his decision, and that of his editor to leave it there, which made race an issue in a piece that’s only true position is to rail against tattoos for quarterbacks.

Whitley’s context of race was well-meaning, but inappropriate. When looking at the context of how the NFL openly questioned the intellectual capabilities of black athletes, it made sense to discuss Doug Williams’ blackness when he helped the Redskins win the Super Bowl. It was a historical moment.

Yet, to say that Robert Griffin is an intelligent, articulate, hard-working, black man in a story about him is unnecessary if the context isn’t about the role of race and athletics in American society. Ask yourself this question: when would it be necessary to describe Andrew Luck as a passionate, athletic, and tough as nails, white man in a sports story? Moreover, is Andrew Luck ever described as a “white man” in the average sports story?

The use of “black” as a descriptor is something I hear friends and colleagues use in situations that aren’t necessary. If I were at a future Redskins-Colts football game with my daughter and Luck and Griffin were both in grey sweats having a conversation at the 50 yard-line, I’ll point and say, “The black dude,” if she asks me,  “Which quarterback is Griffin?” If I’m describing the skill of a player, or the personality of an individual’s “blackness” or “whiteness,” then color rarely needs to be a part of the equation.

If it does, ask yourself why its so important that you include race in the context of what you’re telling. Does it need to be for you, or your audience?

The unintentional dark comedy of this entire uproar from writers and bloggers who I’ve seen brand this piece as racist is that the most vocal ones I saw online where white men. It’s usually white men who are quick to correct my wife that she is not black, but ‘African-American.’ Well-intended, but incredibly ignorant.  Most black people in this country have an ancestry of people that hailed from a variety of nations and races. While some people will say that the term was coined by black people (I’ve seen some cite Jesse Jackson) it was white people in America who began using this term as early as the 1850s.

It never occurred to these white male writers that the writer is the father to two black girls, or that the editor is black. It’s not to say that black people are incapable of being racist (If you were one of those white people railing against Whitley don’t be offended that I’m poking fun at you – some of you meant well), but it is sad and funny to me that two writers who should understand the nuance of the issue of race in this country failed to successfully navigate the racial minefield. Of course some may even say they willfully tripped the wires to get attention.

This public service announcement about the state of race in the United States is a necessary prelude to the range of thoughts I am sharing below about Cam Newton, Robert Griffin, and any other quarterback with the incredible physical gifts to thread the needle with his arms and gain huge chunks of yards with his legs. I want my future analysis to be an honest examination of the idea that certain black quarterbacks could see their long-term development stunted because of coaches willing to take a slower transition with a college-based offense or an offense where running is highly encouraged.

Kordell Stewart, Michael Vick, Vince Young, Cam Newton, and Robert Griffin may have looked like superstars in these offenses early in their careers, but in the case of Stewart, Vick, and Young, they didn’t make the transition into pocket passers the way that Donovan McNabb and Steve McNair did and they may ultimately struggled. I fear Newton and Griffin could find themselves along the same road where the team had great intentions, but they didn’t force their quarterbacks to take the harder, but more fulfilling development path.

However, I see evidence where ignorance may take root in terms of the responses I’ll receive. It’s why I think it is important to map the minefield before I take you through it. I want to say upfront that I have no definitive answers. I don’t know if I’m right. My concerns might be unwarranted, but I do see a link between these progressive ideas in football and how they could mimic the progressive or liberal ideas that some in our country have with race. Both have good intentions, but sometimes do more harm than good.  I want to be able to say them while providing enough context that hopefully most people will understand that this is a delicate and nuanced issue and I’m sharing my thoughts, but not making hard conclusions.

Navigating the Minefield

What I fear is that the Redskins and Panthers’ offenses systems, which have been retrofitted to ease the short-term transition of Robert Griffin and Cam Newton, may actually do a disservice to the long-term development of these fantastic quarterback talents. I believe the validity of my concerns will ultimately hinge on how effective these spread offensive concepts taken from the college game will chip away at the validity of the old truism “a successful NFL quarterback must win from the pocket.”

Why race becomes part of the issue is tricky.

The Panthers and Redskins seem more willing to use college option concepts with Newton and Griffin than the 49ers and Broncos were with Alex Smith and Tim Tebow. Both Smith and Tebow were spread option stars at the college level. The 49ers set about grooming Smith to become a pocket passer. Tebow was merely an option of desperation that John Elway tossed aside as soon as the Broncos season ended. If he couldn’t land Peyton Manning, the consummate pocket quarterback, I have no doubts that Elway would have moved heaven and earth to acquire one in the draft with more refined skill than rookie Brock Osweiler.

Alex Smith was a successful college runner-passer in a spread system. Why did the 49ers opt to force him into developing pocket passer? I have no clear answer, but it is food for thought. Photo by  Jason Ku Photography.
Alex Smith was a successful college runner-passer in a spread system. Why did the 49ers opt to force him into developing pocket passer? I hope I’m wrong, but it is food for thought that race was a subconscious factor into the decision-making equation with Newton and Griffin. Photo by Jason Ku Photography.

Tebow’s lack of developed arm talent is an easy reason to explain why no team is willing to invest in him as a starter in an option-based system like Newton and Griffin. Smith is a different story. Gil Brandt reported from Smith’s pre-draft workout that he hadn’t seen as impressive of a performance since Troy Aikman. Remember that Smith was also a dangerous runner at Utah.

It doesn’t take a scout to see the difference between Smith’s size and speed in comparison to Newton and Griffin. However, the 49ers have picked its spots to use Smith’s prowess as a runner. At 6’4″ and an athletic, 217 pounds, Smith was as successful running a spread option as a ball carrier as Newton and Griffin. I doubt he has the athleticism to gain the yardage in chunks that Newton and Griffin have, but I don’t think the overall effectiveness within the scope of a pro offense fitted for Smith to run would have yielded dramatically different results. Here is each player’s rushing stats during their final college season.

Player Att Yds TD
Smith 135 631 10
Griffin 161 699 10
Newton 264 1473 20

From the standpoint of yards per carry and touchdowns per attempt, there’s not a significant difference. This could just have to do with individual preference and willingness of coaches, but I do wonder that, when it comes to teams opting to employ an offense with the quarterback as part-runner and part-passer, if race was a subconscious factor to take that risk.

My fear is that teams are opting to exploit Griffin’s and Newton’s athletic talents now at the cost of their vast potential to develop into true pocket passers later. It’s not an intentional exploitation based on race, but if a player like Newton begins to falter, then the commentary then leads to similar type of grilling that Vince Young or Kordell Stewart earned. The fact that some fans drew parallels between Newton and Vince Young was unfair to Newton and I think some of it had to do with race.

The motivation of these teams  is to maximize Newton and Griffin’s talents to win now. That is admirable and in some ways progressive thinking. But unless the teams find the right combination of quarterback and offense, these players’ lack of pocket development and reading the entire field could set them back in terms of traditional skills.

This view could find its way to the historic dustbin faster than Griffin can cover 30 yards in the open field. The reason is that they may change NFL quarterbacking with their athleticism. But until they do so over a period of years, I won’t believe it.

It has been a truism for decades that in the NFL the quarterback must be able to win from the pocket. Steve Young, Randall Cunningham, Donovan McNabb, Steve McNair, and to some extent Ben Roethlisberger, all had to learn to play better from the pocket to elevate their game.

Now coaches are injecting spread principles into the NFL game, including the zone-read options. This may accelerate statistical production and big-play development, but we haven’t seen lasting proof that the offenses are leading to victories or long-term development of the quarterbacks at the wheel. I want to see Robert Griffin and Cam Newton win and win big. I want them to develop into great quarterbacks.

Perhaps they will never need to lean solely on these pocket skills and they will indeed change the NFL game. If so, that’s terrific. However, I’m skeptical because I believe the hits will take a toll with age. If they are part running back, think about the life expectancy of a runner’s career versus a quarterback’s and you have to begin subtracting years.

Of course there’s no guarantee either Newton or Griffin will develop into a great pocket passer any more than Alex Smith, Sam Bradford, or anything other big-time white quarterback entering the league. Call me old-school, but I’d like to see these teams try. Let Newton and Griffin take their lumps from defenses, coaches, fans, and media as they work on the tried-and-true skills of quarterbacking. I think it’s better to do so earlier where hitting a wall is expected than to give them early success and become the equivalent of many child stars in Hollywood.

If they can do so in this style of offense long-term then great, but I don’t see it working in Carolina. This could have more to do with Carolina specifically, but I want to entertain the idea that it may not. I think how Griffin, Newton, Kapernick, and their teams fare could make my point worth examining.

Right now it’s just speculation in a minefield.

Reads Listens Views 11/30/2012

Are you a dynasty league owner, or are you looking for a surprise producer at the end of the season in a deep re-draft league? Marvin Jones might be your guy. See below. Photo by John Martinez Pavliga

Thanks

I have great readers. People who send me holiday cards, books, and YouTube videos because they just enjoy the back-and-forth. While I’m not always able to respond in kind or with as much regularity as I’d like, I still want to thank all of you who frequent this blog, email me, and/or purchase the Rookie Scouting Portfolio publication. Two years ago I wondered if the RSP would have a long-term future. I’m far more optimistic than I’ve ever been due to the response to this blog and the 2012 publication. I hope all of you reading this have a good holiday season filled with gifts that come from being around people that you enjoy.

If you’re new to the RSP blog, here’s a series I wrote comparing Bengals receiver Marvin Jones and Jets receiver Stephen Hill.

Listens

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This is one of the most sonically flexible small groups you will ever hear. Think Peyton Manning at the line of scrimmage with a Reggie Wayne, Marvin Harrison, Dallas Clark, Austin Collie, and Edgerrin James all in their prime.

Football and Fantasy Football Reads

  • 49ers QB Colin Kaepernick’s parents can’t believe criticism over their son’s arm tattoos USA Today writer Robert Klemko interviews Kaepernick’s parents after a writer disparaged the quarterback’s tattoos. Personally, I’ll never get a tattoo. I don’t believe in marking my body with ink. However, invoking the quarterback-as-CEO argument against Kaepernick is an out-dated idea. Please look around at our CEOs, congressional representatives, and leaders in academia. They wear the right clothes, have the right hair cut, and project and image of reliability. True, projecting an image is an action and looking like a banker-robot is safe. But athletes aren’t bankers. Unlike bankers, athletes are supposed to take risks. They are supposed to be passionate. They are supposed to deal with tremendous adversity. I don’t want to banker running my offense. I want someone with conviction. To stick with bankers and their politician employees. . . for that matter, everyone. Isn’t it time we apply Ghandi’s Seven Sins to what we think we see in them?
    • Wealth without Work
    • Pleasure without Conscience
    • Science without Humanity
    • Knowledge without Character
    • Politics without Principle
    • Commerce without Morality
    • Worship without Sacrifice
  • A Former Player’s Perspective on the Rookie Wall Ryan Riddle offers another fantastic take on a the behind the scenes realities of the NFL.
  • Zach Law’s Interview of Mike MacGregor at Fantasy Throwdown If there were an underrated fantasy football resource in the industry, MacGregor is that guy. I wouldn’t be doing this today if it weren’t for him.

Non-Football Reads

Views

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I’ll be talking about Wheaton soon. Those of you draft analysts on Twitter who predicted I’d like Wheaton were correct.

Reads Listens Views 11/21/12

Happy Thanksgiving. Photo Provided by Animal Farm Foundation.

Listens – Some soulful, Thanksgiving blues from a Frenchman who could swing his tail off. Great, great, musician. Press ‘play’ and read on.

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About ‘Reads Listens Views’

Thanks to folks like my buddy Josh Norris at Rotoworld, Joe Goodberry, and Eric Stoner, I have new readers. If you’re one of them, I hope you enjoy what you’re reading at the RSP blog. Every Friday, I like to share my finds that are football and non-football. While I don’t get a ton of views of the non-football content, those that take the time to look express their appreciation. I also believe it is the non-football content that helps me look at the football world with a perspective that is worth sharing. This week, I’m posting this feature early to wish you all a Happy Thanksgiving.

Introduce Fantasy Football to Your Family With Fantasy Throwdown

Play me or your friends in free games of one-on-one fantasy football.

If you’re traveling for Thanksgiving and you want to introduce fantasy football to your family, there’s no easier way to do so than to play Fantasy Throwdown. Free to play and easy to learn, drafts take 15 minutes and what a fantastic way to enjoy the games with your family and help them see why fantasy football is so much fun.

Football Reads

 Non-Football Reads

  • Kurt Vonnegut Describing His Daily Routine – What I love about Vonnegut’s writing is his voice. He’s a wicked-smart friend who pulls you up to his level.
  • How Partisans Fool Themselves Into Believing Their Own Spin  – Until we take the best of both sides of an argument the machine’s gears stay stuck.
  • 45-Minute Roasted Turkey – I’ve cooked turkey all sorts of ways. For years I’ve deep-fried it in the backyard. Two years ago, I did a confit. Recently I tried this recipe. If you’re not worried about a Norman Rockwell-Hallmark moment at the dinner table, then this is the quickest and best way to do the bird.

Views – A letter from Fiona Apple about her best friend

Family and blood aren’t always synonymous. Photo by RussTeaches.

If I heard a Fiona Apple song I wouldn’t know it even though I’ve known he she was for years. Recently, Apple cancelled a tour of South America to be there for her best friend who is terminally ill. Whether the reasons are biological, biblical, or the sake that they grew up with a lot of people in their lives, there people in my life whom I love and respect who don’t understand the friendship that can exist between a human and an animal I understand the point that we shouldn’t treat animals like humans because we’re not respecting the animal’s nature.

I don’t believe in treating pets in such a way that it can endanger the physical or emotional welfare of human members of a family. But until there’s enough prove to disavow any possibility that a bond between a human being and many animals can exist and it’s not solely based on food, shelter, and comfort, then I’m choosing to believe what I see.

Below is the typed version of a hand-written letter from Apple to her fans to explain the bond she has with her dog Janet. If you’re a pet-person or you became one because you’re more of a solitary traveler through life, which many people of Apple’s skill-set are, then you’ll get what she’s saying.

I’m not a believer that family and blood are always synonymous. Loyalty and respect are earned. I hope on this Thanksgiving Day that you can appreciate and respect the family you have around you. If not, I hope you make choices moving forward to build your family, because, at least from this side of the monitor, I believe that’s how it’s done.

(Apple’s letter)

It’s 6pm on Friday,and I’m writing to a few thousand friends I have not met yet. I am writing to ask them to change our plans and meet a little while later. Here’s the thing. I have a dog Janet, and she’s been ill for almost two years now, as a tumor has been idling in her chest, growing ever so slowly. She’s almost 14 years old now.I got her when she was 4 months old. I was 21 then ,an adult officially – and she was my child. She is a pitbull, and was found in Echo Park, with a rope around her neck, and bites all over her ears and face. She was the one the dogfighters use to puff up the confidence of the contenders. She’s almost 14 and I’ve never seen her start a fight , or bite, or even growl, so I can understand why they chose her for that awful role. She’s a pacifist.

Janet has been the most consistent relationship of my adult life, and that is just a fact. We’ve lived in numerous houses, and jumped a few make shift families, but it’s always really been the two of us. She slept in bed with me, her head on the pillow, and she accepted my hysterical, tearful face into her chest, with her paws around me, every time I was heartbroken, or spirit-broken, or just lost, and as years went by, she let me take the role of her child, as I fell asleep, with her chin resting above my head. She was under the piano when I wrote songs, barked any time I tried to record anything, and she was in the studio with me all the time we recorded the last album. The last time I came back from tour, she was spry as ever, and she’s used to me being gone for a few weeks every 6 or 7 years.

She has Addison’s Disease, which makes it dangerous for her to travel since she needs regular injections of Cortisol, because she reacts to stress and to excitement without the physiological tools which keep most of us from literally panicking to death. Despite all of this, she’s effortlessly joyful and playful, and only stopped acting like a puppy about 3 years ago. She’s my best friend and my mother and my daughter, my benefactor, and she’s the one who taught me what love is. I can’t come to South America. Not now. When I got back from the last leg of the US tour, there was a big, big difference. She doesn’t even want to go for walks anymore. I know that she’s not sad about aging or dying. Animals have a survival instinct, but a sense of mortality and vanity, they do not. That’s why they are so much more present than people. But I know that she is coming close to point where she will stop being a dog, and instead, be part of everything. She’ll be in the wind, and in the soil, and the snow, and in me, wherever I go.

I just can’t leave her now, please understand. If I go away again, I’m afraid she’ll die and I won’t have the honor of singing her to sleep, of escorting her out. Sometimes it takes me 20 minutes to pick which socks to wear to bed. But this decision is instant. These are the choices we make, which define us. I will not be the woman who puts her career ahead of love and friendship. I am the woman who stays home and bakes Tilapia for my dearest, oldest friend. And helps her be comfortable, and comforted, and safe, and important. Many of us these days, we dread the death of a loved one. It is the ugly truth of Life, that keeps us feeling terrified and alone. I wish we could also appreciate the time that lies right beside the end of time. I know that I will feel the most overwhelming knowledge of her, and of her life and of my love for her, in the last moments. I need to do my damnedest to be there for that. Because it will be the most beautiful, the most intense, the most enriching experience of life I’ve ever known. When she dies. So I am staying home, and I am listening to her snore and wheeze, and reveling in the swampiest, most awful breath that ever emanated from an angel. And I am asking for your blessing. I’ll be seeing you.

Love,
Fiona

Juron Criner: “Trust Me”

Photo by Matt Waldman

Raiders receiver Juron Criner made a play this weekend against the Saints that was typical, if not easier, than what he did at Arizona. I think he could continue to earn time in the starting lineup this year. He has Cris Carter-like hands and body control. Big shoes to fill, but he’s worthy of the compliment if he continues to work. See below.

Futures: NC State CB David Amerson

North Carolina State cornerback David Amerson whose FBS record-breaking, 13-interception performance in 2011 as a sophomore placed him among the top-five prospects at his position heading into the season, is a good example of a prospect whose skills make his draft stock more volatile than others in his class.

“Sure he was great, but don’t forget Ginger Rogers did everything he did backwards…and in high heels!”

– Bob Thaves

Cornerbacks don’t wear heels, but there’s a little bit of Ginger Rogers in every good one that has to line up and do the dance with a receiver. Much like Astaire’s underrated partner, there are some misnomers surrounding the cornerback position. The biggest one is that cornerback is a one-size-fits-all position.

The value of a cornerback prospect depends on numerous factors that reflect the style and personnel of the NFL defenses and how they match with the skills and deficiencies of the corner. Does the defense play a lot of zone, off man, or bump and run? Will the corner need to have the skills to play the wide side of the field or does the team have the luxury to use him to the narrow side where he’ll earn more assistance?

North Carolina State cornerback David Amerson whose FBS record-breaking, 13-interception performance in 2011 as a sophomore placed him among the top-five prospects at his position heading into the season, is a good example of a prospect whose skills make his draft stock more volatile than others in his class. Interceptions may heighten a player’s public standing because they tell a positive story, but that one stat is not the book on the junior defensive back.

Darrelle Revis is considered one of the best cornerbacks in the NFL and he has only 19 interceptions in his career. The best one-year interception total Champ Bailey had during his 14-year career is 10 in 2006. To give that more perspective, Bailey just earned his 12th interception during the six seasons since that double-digit year. Since every wise soul from Athens, Georgia, Washington D.C., and Denver, Colorado knows that 70 percent of the earth is covered by water and the rest by Champ Bailey, Amerson’s 13-interception season is a great feat but it doesn’t make him a great cornerback.

Based on 2011 performances against Clemson and Louisville and Tennessee in the 2012 opener, Amerson is not a shutdown corner in the style of Revis or Bailey. These two NFL players have that thing that Ginger Rogers did. If seeking a cornerback with shutdown potential, Alabama’s Dee Milliner and Florida State’s Xavier Rhodes, whose physical, man-to-man style; recovery speed; and ability to bring the lumber against the run make them wiser investments for those NFL shoppers. Read the rest at Football Outsiders.

Reads Listens Views 11/16/2012

Listens

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More on La Havas later.

Views Part I – Real or Photoshop? I don’t care, it’s cool . . .

At Fantasy Throwdown: Annual Thanksgiving Tourney & IDP Tourney!!!

To our regulars out there, thanks for playing Fantasy Throwdown, including providing feedback and helping build a great community of fantasy football players.To our mailing list members who haven’t checked in for a while, or since last season, come on over. The regular season is past the halfway mark, but we’re going to continue playing Throwdown all the way through the Super Bowl, one week at a time.Here is a snapshot of things going on this month:
Turkey Day CompetitionIt is back. Or will be next week, that is. Our favourite (note the “u”) holiday that isn’t even a holiday where Mike lives – U.S. Thanksgiving. Three games on the NFL schedule, which is perfect for a little game we like to call Fantasy Throwdown. It will be similar to last year’s hootenanny. Look for details posted early next week.
IDP TournamentThe reason we don’t spell out acronyms like IDP very often is because we know we attract top fantasy football players who can break down expected tackle distribution numbers when stars Ray Lewis and Sean Lee are sidelined. If you qualify – or maybe it is time to learn – sign up for our next tournament that includes more Vontaze Burfict and less Trindon Holliday.
Player vs. Player StatsWondering how your head-to-head record stacks up against Players X, Y and Z? Sure, you could just count the wins and losses in your Game Manager history, but we’ve made it a lot easier. Go to our new stats tool, start typing your username, select and hit submit. Don’t get mad if you find one or two players are bringing your overall win % down. Get even.

Sign Up Now, IDP and Turkey Day

Coming Soon at the RSP Blog

  • My next Futures column at Football Outsiders on NC State corner David Amerson
  • A commentary on the thorny intersection of racism, politics, and quarterbacking in the NFL
  • Down the road . . . 2013 No-Huddle Series: Short takes of prospects under the radar

Views Part II

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You probably saw this terrific bicycle kick on Dead Spin, but here it is if you missed it.

Views Part III

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Neodymium is a rare earth mineral. It’s one of strongest of magnets, capable of holding 1000 times its weight. Hybrid cars use neodymium in its engines. Your computers and smart phones use it. Mining it takes enough energy per day to power 50,000 homes and water usage to fill two Olympic-sized swimming pools. Because it’s found embedded near uranium and thorium, the process to extract the neodymium requires safety measures that have been problematic to say the least.

My ignorant, tin-foil hat question of the day is this: If this mineral in small amounts has this type of magnetic capability and our earth rotates and orbits based on magnetic fields then why are we digging it up? I know I have to be missing something about how our planet orbits and how the magnetic fields actually work that doesn’t include this mineral embedded throughout our planet. Otherwise, aren’t we eventually going to screw up the way our planet orbits the sun or how the moon stays in orbit? Considering the demand for the metal is expected to grow by 700 percent in the near future, I’m wondering if this is just another chapter in the book Here Today, Gone Tomorrow: The Shortsighted History of Humanity.

I feel pretty dumb to ask but my lunch hour is spent reading non-football material, and notice “hour” isn’t plural in this instance.

Football Reads

Football Outsiders Film Room: Colts-Patriots – Andy Benoit’s analysis of Andrew Luck’s drop against two-deep coverage is outstanding.

PFF Analysis Notebook: Richard Sherman – Sam Monson does a great job profiling the Seahawks cornerback and why “Revis Island may be about to become an archipelago, flanked by Sherman Island in a sea from which there is no escape for receivers.”

The New Old School – Chris Brown’s piece on Chip Kelly’s offense at Oregon at Grantland.

FishDuck – Rotoworld’s Josh Norris recommended this site for even more great analysis on this cutting edge Oregon offense.

Manti Te’0, The Example – Eric Stoner’s analysis of the Notre Dame linebacker at Rotoworld.

Non-Football Reads

Why Think by Numbers? While it’s difficult for me to buy the entire argument, which by the way probably feeds into this writer’s argument even more, it’s a well-written article that highlights the lack of balance in which we use the various parts of our brains to come to decisions, especially with politics.

Government Spends More on Corporate Welfare Subsidies than Social Welfare Programs – More fascinating stuff from this  site focused on the concept of “Empiricism” as a political movement.

Top Georgia GOP Lawmakers Host Briefing on Secret Obama Mind-Control Plot – If you’re wondering why I had that tinfoil hat question about neodymium just realize it must have something to do with the water around Athens, Ga. If Paul Broun wasn’t enough (and yes, I voted for Charles Darwin with pride), now we have an Athens-based group saying our president is using CIA-Jedi mind tricks to sway the country. You didn’t have to vote for Obama to realize this just beats all.

Listens

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Lianne La Havas: ‘The Golden Girl of British Music’I heard this singer-songwriter on the drive to work. Elizabeth Blair writes, “the past year has been very good for La Havas, as she was nominated for a Mercury Prize in the U.K. Stevie Wonder also left her a voice mail message singing one of her songs, and Prince invited her to jam with him.”

Robert Cray Band: Tiny Desk Concerts He had a big hit in the 1980s with his album Strong Persuader. I think he’s a fantastic writer and bluesman.

FantasyThrowdown.com Tourney

If you’re new to the RSP blog or you haven’t tried FantasyThrowdown.com you ought to go over there today. It’s free, one-on-one, weekly fantasy football with drafts that take minutes and are so convenient to do that you’ll find yourself in multiple games before you even realize it. Throwdown has PPR and Non-PPR formats and even IDP challenges. Challenge someone from the Lobby or challenge a friend. Here’s a quick tutorial if you even need one – it’s that easy to play.

For those of you playing Throwodown, here’s the latest news from the site about its Championship round of a recent tourney.

Tourney Championship Round, Trade Rule

November 6th, 2012

Just like the lead up to the Super Bowl, we took an extra week to finally get to the Championship Round of our Fantasy Throwdown “For The Heck of It” Tournament series. Our reason for the delay is less elusive to the build up the NFL likes to manufacture prior to its annual showcase event. Simply and understandably, Superstorm Sandy knocked some of our regular players out of commission from fantasy football. We certainly hope they were able to weather the storm well enough and are able to return to some semblance of normalcy, if not entirely yet then soon.

Now the Championship Round is ready to be played. Lets wrap up the tournament – or shall I say, tournaments – this week. We started with three, 12-team tourneys featuring representatives from each of the awesome fantasy football websites, Dynasty League Football, Footballguys and Pro Football Focus. Through Round 1 and Round 2, we’ve dwindled the field to a pair of combatants in each tournament to fight for the A-Side Championship, and four runner-ups competing for the B-Side Championship.

Each A-Side and B-Side Champ wins an official Fantasy Throwdown t-shirt. The A-Side Champ wins 7.5 bonus points towards their Leaderboard ranking. The B-Side Champ wins 5 bonus points towards their Leaderboard ranking. Each wins eternal bragging rights, of course, and if we had one of those fancy websites with badges or medals they’d get one of those too. Maybe some day.

Dynasty League Football TournamentA Championship
Shasta vs. mann231B Championship
EyeoftheGator vs. Butkiss vs. RyanMc23 vs. stauqmuk
Footballguys TournamentA Championship
Fantasytaz vs. WHUDEYB Championship
ffbobby24 vs. ChipsAndTricks vs. j0eo1s vs. jrnall2
Pro Football Focus TournamentA Championship
Mike vs. qryztopherB Championship
cwill0303 vs. TheKommish vs. Bryan_Fontaine vs. Scott Kuff

There are our combatants. The A Championship is a best-of-three game head-to-head battle. The B Championship is a three game round robin, winner determined by won-loss record and then tie-breaker procedures as applied in prior rounds if necessary.

Now I’d like to announce a rule change we’re going to try for the tournament championship games. This is the “For The Heck of It” tournament series, so we’re going to implement a “For The Heck of It” rule change. The new rule should equally benefit both competitors and add a little more posturing and cunning for these big games.

Trading. Technically, it is like waivers, but I’d like to call it trading. In each championship game, each Throwdown player can trade in one of the players they drafted in exchange for another player not already drafted (or blocked). The past few weeks we’ve really seen an increase in the number of late reported injuries causing some havoc for those drafting early and taking a zero when a player doesn’t suit up Sunday as expected. I’d like to try this trade rule to counter that. It is going to be a manual process, so take note, here is how it works:

  • Each Throwdown player has one trade available per Throwdown game
  • Any player in your lineup, including the blocked player, can be exchanged for any other player not already selected or blocked in the challenge
  • An active player must be exchanged with a player at the same position
  • An active player cannot be exchanged for a player you blocked at the same position, or vice versa
  • To trade a player, send an email, tweet or Facebook post to Fantasy Throwdown (a.k.a. Mike and Matt) indicating your username, the challenge name, player to drop and player to add
  • Trade requests can only be made from Friday at 3:00 pm Eastern through Monday at 8:30 pm Eastern. Requests received prior to this will be ignored. Requests must be made prior to opening kickoff of both players in the trade request.
  • Trade requests will be processed on a first-come, first-served basis
  • Trades cannot be combined into a single challenge, it is strictly one trade per challenge
  • Once a trade request is made, it cannot be taken back
  • Throwdown players are not required to use their trade option

That about covers it, we hope. It could prove interesting if players use the Monday night game in their challenge! Remember, this only applies to tournament games this week. We’ll see how it goes. This should help protect players from late week injury news, and maybe it will get people to take a few more risks in their challenges if a good injured player is truly on the bubble.

The tournament games should already be in your Game Manager. Good luck this week

Play Fantasy Throwdown today. Intuitive, addictive, 1-on-1 fantasy football for free. Register now!

WR Justin Hunter: Unvarnished Moss

Tennessee wide receiver Justin Hunter is the focus of a multiple-post series this week at the RSP blog. Hunter is a phenomenal physical talent with natural hands and the scary part is that he’s still raw. Photo by Wade Rackley.

If you attempt to keep up he’ll run by you. If you try to get in his way he’ll run around you. And in those cases you succeed in sticking close, he’ll leap over you. Tennessee wide receiver Justin Hunter is a 6-4, 200 lb., gazelle in pads.

There are only two players that I have studied in recent years that have the athleticism to even be mentioned stylistically within the same sentence as Randy Moss. The first his Cincinnati wide receiver A.J. Green, who has done enough on an NFL field to convince me that he belongs within the same stylistic tier as the all-time great vertical threat. Give Green a quarterback commensurate with his ability and the Moss-like stats will follow.

The other player is Hunter. While his potential is in the same neighborhood his play has yet to reach the same subdivision. Hunter has experienced his share of big drops this year, including a deep target against Alabama in late October. I watched two of Hunter’s games thus far – this year’s N.C. State game in Atlanta and a match up with Cincinnati – and I came away ambivalent.

In terms of ceiling, you might strain your neck trying to find were Hunter’s upside ends. However, there are basics flaws to Hunter’s game that might as well have him chained to the ground. Both Randy Moss and A.J. Green were refined talents for by rookie standards – and perhaps even by veteran standards. Even Jets receiver Stephen Hill wasn’t as raw as Hunter when I evaluated him last year. When a player like Hunter in a passing game that has a lot of pro-style tendencies is less polished than a former Georgia Tech receiver in a triple-option offensive system, it’s a concern.

Volunteers head coach Derek Dooley has a similar assessment.

“First, it has to happen with more consistency in practice. Justin has got to understand that playing receiver is not always clean and easy [and] that there’s a little grit that you have to do to get open. You’re going to have to get hit. Good receivers are going to make those kind of plays no matter what the circumstance. He’s not there yet. We all want to talk about how he’s this first-round pick and the No.1 pick in the draft and he can be that, but he has never performed to that standard in my opinion. And he knows that. So he needs to focus on his development and what does he do well, what are some things that we have got to keep building on, and how do we get there. He’s got great character, it’s important to him, and he’s got a lot of special qualities as a wide out. But being able to go produce out there week after week is what matters.”

What I hear Dooley saying is that Hunter isn’t working on the fine points of his game in practice. When it’s time to execute he makes mistakes because he hasn’t ingrained all the teachings that the Tennessee program has tried to impart on him. On some level, Hunter has been coasting on his first-round athleticism. Otherwise a head coach – especially a head coach whose father was an SEC head coach and athletic director – wouldn’t challenge his player publicly.

Hunter’s deficiencies aren’t difficult to spot. This is the first part of a series of posts about Hunter and how this fantastic talent is holding himself back from potential greatness.

Why Hunter is making the term “receiver” a bad word

This is a first-and-goal slant with 2:30 in the third quarter. Hunter is in the slot in a 1×2 receiver, 11-personnel pistol set. N.C. State has a linebacker two steps inside of Hunter and a defensive back three yards over the top of the receiver at the hash. Just before the snap, the linebacker tips his hand that he’s blitzing, which leaves Hunter one-on-one with the defensive back and a likely opening behind the linebacker inside. Both Hunter and his quarterback make this read and are on the same page as the center snaps the ball.

Hunter begins his release from the line of scrimmage with good intensity. His shoulders are over his knees and he is working downhill. A strong release is often a receiver’s best chance to set up a defender early in a route, especially a quick-hitting route like the slant.

Hunter’s first mistake comes just a few steps into his release when he tips off his break by raising his torso, which is a big indicator that he’s about to change direction.

Hunter’s body language is indicating to the defender, “don’t get into a back pedal” because I’m not running behind you. As you can see the N.C. State defensive back is a good listener to body language be he’s on his toes and waiting. You’ll see in the next step that the defensive back also knows that the slant is the most likely route that Hunter will run if his linebacker teammate is blitzing.

Hunter makes a sharp jab step to the outside to set up his inside break, but the defensive back isn’t buying the outside move at all. He plants his outside leg to time his burst inside at the exact same time as the receiver. If the defender were fooled, he would be a step behind or caught moving in the opposite direction of the break. Even a phenom’s physical advantages are diminished on short routes. It’s like the old wrestling adage that all men are the same size when they’re on the mat.

Making matters worse, Hunter’s break lacks control because he slips during the change of direction and exits the break leaning too far forward and out of position to have his hands and arms to adjust to the football. Slants are tight-window passes and expecting perfect accuracy every time is setting the bar too high, even in the pros. A receiver can help his quarterback when he’s in a position to use his back to shield the defender while turning his torso into position to catch the ball in any of the windows that the ball may arrive: ahead, on his body, or slightly behind him. Unless this throw is in front or low and away, Hunter is going to have a difficult time making a reception if the ball arrives within the next two steps of his route.

Just a step later, Hunter is still trying to regain his balance. The receiver’s poor beginning to his route renders his long arms and big hands useless unless the pass arrives at his shins about six inches off the turf.  When Hunter regains his footing and his body is upright, his hands and arms are the last – and most important – parts of his body to get in position to catch the football.

Hunter’s hands are far apart and one is palm-side up while the other is palm-side down. If this were the only play I planned to show I’d be cherry-picking my analysis, but I’m going to show this poor hand positioning on two other plays where he has no excuse to demonstrate more technique and polish as a pass catcher. The biggest takeaway from this play is Hunter’s body position before and after his break that telegraphs his intentions to the covering defender and hamstrings his balance when changing direction, which makes his route running inefficient and detracts from his one goal: catching the football.

Hunter manages to pull it together and get his hands close enough that they are in a position to catch an oncoming pass. That’s the good news. The bad news is that Hunter’s hand position isn’t optimal for catching a pass. If this pass were to arrive below the waist, Hunter’s palms-up technique is the proper way to field the ball. This pass arrives just above his waist and behind him and it would be better if he attempts to field this ball with his palms down and his fingers pointing skyward.

The reason has more to do with the ball arriving behind him and the location of the defender rather than the height of the arriving pass. Think of your hand position when you are taking an option and receiving it. A palms-up position in this situation is a passive attempt to catch a pass – it’s “receiving,” in the literal sense. A receiver with his palms up is waiting for the ball to come to him. If I were a coach, one of the little things I’d insist on doing is renaming the position from “receiver,” to “snatcher.” The natural hand position for actively taking an object is with the palms down (or at least sideways) and to amp that action to the level of aggression that I would want from my pass catchers “taking” would evolve to “snatching.” It’s all about ingraining an attitude with a team.

Hunter’s technique flaw comes into focus as the ball arrives. It’s far more difficult for a receiver to extend his arms and catch the ball because his hands aren’t in position to generate the widest possible surface area to control the ball. From a visual perspective, Hunter’s hands are like a landing strip when they need to be a spider web.

This pass requires an aggressive response and there’s no way Hunter can extend his arms to the first available window with his arms in this position to take the football away from his opponent. As the ball arrives, the defender extends his outside arm across Hunter’s chest. If Hunter had his arms extended with his palms up, the defender would have to interfere with Hunter to reach the oncoming pass.

Even if the official doesn’t call a penalty on the defender, Hunter still has a fighting catch to catch the football because his arms will be over the defender’s and his hands will reach the ball first. The defender will have a more difficult time ripping the ball loose with an upward motion than he does with a downward thrust. Hunter would have been in position to lift the ball away unimpeded. That’s the difference between “receiving” and “snatching,” and why hands technique is so important in tight quarters.

Part II: More examples of correctable technique flaws that are holding back Hunter from his vast potential.

For more analysis of skill players entering the NFL, download the 2012 Rookie Scouting Portfolio. Better yet, if you’re a fantasy owner the 56-page Post-Draft Add-on comes with the 2012 RSP at no additional charge. Best, yet, 10 percent of every sale is donated to Darkness to Light to combat sexual abuse. The 2013 Rookie Scouting Portfolio will be available for download here on April 1, 2013.